Capital One Probability Of Bankruptcy - (NYSE:COF) | Macroaxis (2024)

COFStockUSD141.634.863.55%

Capital One's threat of distress is less than 3% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. Capital One's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Capital Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Capital balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Capital One Piotroski F Score and Capital One Altman Z Score analysis.

Capital

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Market Cap

Enterprise Value

Price To Sales Ratio

Dividend Yield

Ptb Ratio

Days Sales Outstanding

Book Value Per Share

Free Cash Flow Yield

Invested Capital

Operating Cash Flow Per Share

Stock Based Compensation To Revenue

Capex To Depreciation

Pb Ratio

Ev To Sales

Free Cash Flow Per Share

Roic

Net Income Per Share

Payables Turnover

Sales General And Administrative To Revenue

Capex To Revenue

Cash Per Share

Pocfratio

Interest Coverage

Payout Ratio

Capex To Operating Cash Flow

Pfcf Ratio

Days Payables Outstanding

Income Quality

Roe

Ev To Operating Cash Flow

Pe Ratio

Return On Tangible Assets

Ev To Free Cash Flow

Earnings Yield

Intangibles To Total Assets

Net Debt To E B I T D A

Current Ratio

Tangible Book Value Per Share

Receivables Turnover

Graham Number

Shareholders Equity Per Share

Debt To Equity

Capex Per Share

Graham Net Net

Revenue Per Share

Interest Debt Per Share

Debt To Assets

Enterprise Value Over E B I T D A

Short Term Coverage Ratios

Price Earnings Ratio

Operating Cycle

Price Book Value Ratio

Price Earnings To Growth Ratio

Days Of Payables Outstanding

Dividend Payout Ratio

Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio

Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio

Pretax Profit Margin

Ebt Per Ebit

Operating Profit Margin

Effective Tax Rate

Company Equity Multiplier

Long Term Debt To Capitalization

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Return On Capital Employed

Debt Equity Ratio

Ebit Per Revenue

Quick Ratio

Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio

Net Income Per E B T

Cash Ratio

Cash Conversion Cycle

Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio

Days Of Sales Outstanding

Free Cash Flow Operating Cash Flow Ratio

Cash Flow Coverage Ratios

Price To Book Ratio

Fixed Asset Turnover

Capital Expenditure Coverage Ratio

Price Cash Flow Ratio

Enterprise Value Multiple

Debt Ratio

Cash Flow To Debt Ratio

Price Sales Ratio

Return On Assets

Asset Turnover

Net Profit Margin

Gross Profit Margin

Price Fair Value

Return On Equity

Change In Cash

Free Cash Flow

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Begin Period Cash Flow

Other Cashflows From Financing Activities

Depreciation

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Total Cash From Operating Activities

Net Income

Total Cash From Financing Activities

End Period Cash Flow

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Change To Liabilities

Sale Purchase Of Stock

Stock Based Compensation

Change To Account Receivables

Change To Inventory

Other Cashflows From Investing Activities

Total Cashflows From Investing Activities

Investments

Change Receivables

Net Borrowings

Cash And Cash Equivalents Changes

Cash Flows Other Operating

Change To Netincome

Change To Operating Activities

Issuance Of Capital Stock

Total Assets

Short Long Term Debt Total

Total Current Liabilities

Total Stockholder Equity

Property Plant And Equipment Net

Net Debt

Retained Earnings

Accounts Payable

Cash

Non Current Assets Total

Non Currrent Assets Other

Other Assets

Cash And Short Term Investments

Net Receivables

Common Stock Shares Outstanding

Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

Non Current Liabilities Total

Other Stockholder Equity

Total Liab

Property Plant And Equipment Gross

Total Current Assets

Short Term Debt

Other Current Liab

Common Stock Total Equity

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income

Common Stock

Other Liab

Long Term Debt

Short Term Investments

Treasury Stock

Property Plant Equipment

Good Will

Other Current Assets

Intangible Assets

Inventory

Retained Earnings Total Equity

Net Tangible Assets

Long Term Debt Total

Capital Surpluse

Long Term Investments

Non Current Liabilities Other

Short Long Term Debt

Current Deferred Revenue

Earning Assets

Capital Lease Obligations

Net Invested Capital

Depreciation And Amortization

Interest Expense

Selling General Administrative

Total Revenue

Gross Profit

Other Operating Expenses

Operating Income

Ebit

Ebitda

Total Operating Expenses

Income Before Tax

Total Other Income Expense Net

Income Tax Expense

Selling And Marketing Expenses

Cost Of Revenue

Net Income Applicable To Common Shares

Discontinued Operations

Net Income From Continuing Ops

Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments

Extraordinary Items

Tax Provision

Net Interest Income

Interest Income

Reconciled Depreciation

Probability Of Bankruptcy

The Capital One's current Market Cap is estimated to increase to about 22.5B. The Capital One's current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 26.1B

Capital One Financial Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Capital One's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Capital One Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Capital One's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Capital One Financial is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Capital One probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Capital One odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Capital One Financial financial health.

Is Capital One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.45)

Dividend Share

2.4

Earnings Share

11.95

Revenue Per Share

68.936

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.004

The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Capital One is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Capital Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Capital One's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Capital One's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Capital One's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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0.790.240.610.610.550.770.660.00.950.760.64-0.650.960.83-0.210.890.660.810.09-0.470.460.540.10.14
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0.920.61-0.320.570.860.920.35-0.450.670.480.15-0.960.660.62-0.510.830.590.91-0.32-0.750.90.8-0.58-0.6
0.670.610.110.570.780.670.16-0.090.750.470.13-0.480.760.730.030.610.450.720.01-0.440.520.42-0.01-0.22
0.90.55-0.110.860.780.910.25-0.120.690.430.03-0.710.70.75-0.130.710.520.8-0.12-0.590.740.55-0.5-0.65
1.00.77-0.060.920.670.910.49-0.20.840.620.29-0.860.830.84-0.330.890.680.92-0.12-0.640.770.67-0.48-0.47
0.510.66-0.080.350.160.250.49-0.020.520.240.77-0.420.530.51-0.120.690.170.44-0.03-0.430.340.5-0.150.08
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0.850.950.260.670.750.690.840.52-0.020.790.45-0.670.980.88-0.20.860.730.880.11-0.480.540.520.04-0.02
0.640.760.540.480.470.430.620.24-0.140.790.25-0.520.730.69-0.420.680.960.680.45-0.30.370.20.170.07
0.310.640.120.150.130.030.290.770.120.450.25-0.310.480.41-0.010.490.060.25-0.01-0.260.070.310.110.54
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0.840.960.220.660.760.70.830.530.050.980.730.48-0.650.88-0.120.860.660.850.07-0.50.520.540.05-0.01
0.850.830.350.620.730.750.840.510.140.880.690.41-0.540.880.040.770.630.740.19-0.330.40.33-0.16-0.16
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0.90.89-0.080.830.610.710.890.69-0.330.860.680.49-0.850.860.77-0.440.680.93-0.05-0.710.770.76-0.24-0.23
0.690.660.410.590.450.520.680.17-0.270.730.960.06-0.60.660.63-0.540.680.730.39-0.380.510.26-0.02-0.17
0.920.81-0.120.910.720.80.920.44-0.40.880.680.25-0.90.850.74-0.490.930.73-0.17-0.70.830.78-0.27-0.37
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-0.64-0.470.4-0.75-0.44-0.59-0.64-0.430.59-0.48-0.3-0.260.8-0.5-0.330.55-0.71-0.38-0.70.22-0.92-0.770.380.36
0.760.46-0.450.90.520.740.770.34-0.670.540.370.07-0.890.520.4-0.650.770.510.83-0.28-0.920.82-0.52-0.59
0.670.54-0.650.80.420.550.670.5-0.540.520.20.31-0.830.540.33-0.530.760.260.78-0.62-0.770.82-0.46-0.35
-0.460.10.59-0.58-0.01-0.5-0.48-0.150.310.040.170.110.480.05-0.160.24-0.24-0.02-0.270.510.38-0.52-0.460.76
-0.450.140.46-0.6-0.22-0.65-0.470.080.34-0.020.070.540.4-0.01-0.160.22-0.23-0.17-0.370.280.36-0.59-0.350.76

Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Capital One Financial has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Consumer Finance sector and 93.16% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Capital One's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Capital One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital One by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Capital One is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Capital One Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01420.0064370.02870.01620.01020.0195
Asset Turnover0.07320.06770.07040.07520.10.13
Net Debt42.0B(638M)20.5B17.0B6.6B6.2B
Total Current Liabilities7.4B352M281M527M29.2B27.8B
Non Current Liabilities Total55.4B39.9B42.3B527M391.2B410.7B
Total Assets390.4B421.6B432.4B455.2B478.5B502.4B
Total Current Assets94.4B142.4B118.5B33.0B46.2B59.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities16.6B16.7B12.3B13.8B20.6B21.6B

Capital One ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Capital One's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Capital One's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

Capital Fundamentals

About Capital One Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Capital One Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Capital One using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Capital One

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Capital One position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capital One will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Capital Stock

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0.7ARES Ares Management LP Financial Report 26th of April 2024 PairCorr
0.9C Citigroup Financial Report 12th of July 2024 PairCorr
0.78L Loews CorpPairCorr

Moving against Capital Stock

0.73HG Hamilton Insurance Report 21st of October 2024 PairCorr
0.6AC Associated CapitalPairCorr
0.44BY Byline Bancorp Earnings CallThis WeekPairCorr
0.43DHIL Diamond Hill InvestmentPairCorr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Capital One could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Capital One when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Capital One - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Capital One Financial to buy it.

The correlation of Capital One is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Capital One moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Capital One Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Capital One can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

When determining whether Capital One Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Capital One's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Capital One's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Capital Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Check out Capital One Piotroski F Score and Capital One Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Piotroski F Score

Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals

Is Capital One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.45)

Dividend Share

2.4

Earnings Share

11.95

Revenue Per Share

68.936

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.004

The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital One Probability Of Bankruptcy - (NYSE:COF) | Macroaxis (2024)

FAQs

Is Capital One Bank safe from collapse? ›

Your money is safe at Capital One

The FDIC insures balances up to $250,000 held in various types of consumer and business deposit accounts.

Is cof a buy or sell? ›

Capital One Financial stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 33 buy ratings, 30 hold ratings, and 15 sell ratings.

Is Capital One in financial trouble? ›

Capital One Financial Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy. Stocks USA . Capital One's threat of distress is less than 3% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months.

What is the intrinsic value of COF stock? ›

As of 2024-05-02, the Intrinsic Value of Capital One Financial Corp (COF) is 319.75 USD. This COF valuation is based on the model Peter Lynch Fair Value. With the current market price of 143.43 USD, the upside of Capital One Financial Corp is 122.9%.

How financially secure is Capital One Bank? ›

Yes, Capital One is FDIC-insured (FDIC certificate No. 33954). Each depositor qualifies for up to $250,000 of coverage per account ownership type.

How stable is Capital One? ›

Fitch Affirms Capital One at 'A-'/'F1'; Outlook Stable. Fitch Ratings - New York - 21 Feb 2024: Fitch Ratings has affirmed Capital One Financial Corporation's (COF) Long- and Short-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'A-' and 'F1', respectively, and has affirmed the bank's Viability Rating (VR) at 'a-'.

What is the COF prediction? ›

The average price target for Capital One Financial is $154.21. This is based on 18 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $189.00 ,the lowest forecast is $135.00. The average price target represents 8.74% Increase from the current price of $141.81.

Is Capital One overvalued? ›

Compared to the current market price of 146.21 USD, Capital One Financial Corp is Undervalued by 28%.

What is Capital One stock forecast for 2030? ›

Capital One Financial Stock Prediction 2030

In 2030, the Capital One Financial stock will reach $ 227.78 if it maintains its current 10-year average growth rate. If this Capital One Financial stock prediction for 2030 materializes, COF stock will grow 59.96% from its current price.

Is Capital One in risk? ›

While Capital One has a long-term credit rating of A- from Fitch Ratings, its risk profile and asset quality are at a BBB+ level.

How solid is Capital One? ›

There are no balance minimums or monthly fees, and you won't need to worry about overdraft fees either. Capital One was named best big bank and best bank for ATM access as part of the 2024 Bankrate Awards, which recognizes the best financial products available to consumers.

How safe is Capital One Bank right now? ›

Is It Safe To Keep Money at Capital One? Typical account holders are in good hands at Capital One due to the bank's membership with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. This independent federal agency provides insurance for balances up to $250,000, spanning a variety of different accounts and products.

What is the book value of Capital One? ›

Capital One Financial (Capital One Financial) Book Value per Share. Capital One Financial's book value per share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $152.71. During the past 12 months, Capital One Financial's average Book Value Per Share Growth Rate was 10.70% per year.

What is Intrinsic Value of stock Warren Buffett? ›

If you read Berkshire Hathway's manual, Buffett said, “The intrinsic value can be defined simply. It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life. As our definition suggests, intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a price figure.

What is a cash dividend? ›

A cash dividend is a payment made by a company to its stockholders in the form of periodic distributions of cash (as opposed to in stock or any other form) Cash dividends are often paid on a regular basis, such as monthly or quarterly, but are sometimes one-time-only payouts, such as after a settlement.

What is the safest bank in the US right now? ›

Safest Banks in the U.S.
  1. JPMORGAN CHASE. Member FDIC.
  2. U.S. BANK. U.S. Bank, also referred to as U.S. Bancorp, is a large bank based in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and currently stands as the fifth-largest banking institution in the U.S. ...
  3. PNC BANK. ...
  4. CITIBANK. ...
  5. WELLS FARGO. ...
  6. CAPITAL ONE. ...
  7. M&T BANK CORPORATION. ...
  8. AGRIBANK.
Feb 13, 2024

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