Demand and Supply (2024)

Chapter 3 - Demand, Supply and MarketEquilibrium

How Prices are determined in a Market Economy and HowEfficiency is achieved in a Market Economy

Introduction

Structural Adjustment Policies

In our lecture on Structural Adjustment we discussed variouspolicies that countries are adopting all around the word to promoteeconomic growth (increasing output rather than increasing theirability) and achieve productive and allocative efficiency.

Structural Adjustment Policies

1. Privatization
2. Promotion of Competition
3. Limited and Reoriented Role for Government
4. Price Reform: Removing Controls
5. Joining the World Economy
6. Macroeconomic Stability
Demand and Supply (1)

Even though the concepts of SUPPLY and DEMAND are microeconomicconcepts, they are reviewed in this macroeconomics course because notall students have taken microeconomics (ECO 211) and they arefundamental principles that all economic student should master. Wewill study supply and demand in this "Macroeconomics of the GlobalEconomy" course to better understand why there is a worldwidemovement to remove price controls and let Supply and Demand determineprices.

In a capitalist economy, prices are very important. They have twofundamental functions:

  1. they RATION goods and services, and
  2. the GUIDE resources to where they are wanted most

By doing this they help the economy maintain allocative efficiencyand productive efficiency.

In the 5Es lesson on allocative efficiency we discussed that itwas good for the price of plywood to increase in Florida after ahurricane. When the price increased two things happened: (1) plywoodwas rationed to its most important uses (not doghouses or decks), and(2) the high prices were an incentive for more plywood to be guidedto Florida so that they had more plywood. If the price of plywood waskept too low the result was allocative inefficiency (a shortage).

Prices are also very important in maintaining productiveefficiency. In the 5Es lecture on Productive efficiency we defined itas producing at a minimum cost. In order to minimize costs, producersmust know the prices of the resources. If these resource prices aredetermined by demand and supply then they will reflect the relativescarcity of the resources and their relative importance (more scarceand important resources will have a higher price) and the economy canachieve productive efficiency.

In a capitalist society prices are determined by the interactionof demand and supply. Since prices are so important, we need tobetter understand how they are determined. Why is the price ofgasoline $2.09 a gallon. Why does a candy bar cost $0.75? Why is theprice of plywood normally $10 a sheet, but $30 a sheet after ahurricane?

This chapter focuses on competitive markets. A market, asintroduced in Chapter 2, is an institution or mechanism that bringstogether buyers (demanders) and sellers (suppliers) of particulargoods and services. Competitive markets have:

1. a large number of independent buyers and sellers.
2. standardized goods.
3. prices that are "discovered" through the interaction of buyers and sellers. No individual can dictate the market price.

In a competitive market (i.e. pure capitalism) product prices aredetermined through the interaction of DEMAND and SUPPLY.

Demand

If the price of a product increases what happens to demand forthat product? For example, If the price of pizza increases, then thedemand for pizza does what?

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NOTHING! If the price of pizza increases, the demand for pizzadoes not change. This is because in economics we have a more precise,and different, definition of demand. In economics, demand is NOT thequantity that people buy.

DEFINITION: So what is demand?

Demand is a schedule that shows the various quantities thatconsumers are willing and able to buy at various prices in a giventime period, ceteris paribus. We should look more closely atthis definition.

Demand is a table of numbers (schedule). Look at the table below.The whole table might represent my demand for pizza because it showsthe quantities that I am willing an able to buy at different prices.It does not tell how much I do buy.

Demand and Supply (2)

Demand Schedule and Curve

As we learned in a previous lesson, any point on a graphrepresents two numbers, so we can plot our demand table as in thegraph below.

Demand and Supply (3)

If we assume that there are quantities and prices in-between thosein the table (for example if the price was $4.50 how many pizzaswould I buy?) we can connect the points and we get the demand curve(graph).

Demand and Supply (4)

This is my demand for pizza. This demand curve does NOT tell uswhat the price will be. To know what the price will be we need bothdemand and supply.

But we can see what happens to demand if the price of pizzasincreases. If the price of pizza increases, say from $6 to $9,nothing on the table changes (demand does not change) because demandalready includes various prices and various quantities. Demand (thewhole table or the graph) does not change when the price changesbecause demand INCLUDES various prices and various quantities. Demandis NOT how much we buy.

Demand and Supply (5)

Note that our definition of demand includes the ceteris paribusassumption. When we develop a demand curve only the price andquantity demanded change. Everything else is assumed to remainconstant. I don't get a large increase in my income. I don't win thelottery. There isn't a new study out that states pizzas cause cancer.All other factors remain the same - only the price and quantitydemanded change.

Law of Demand

As we can see on the demand graph, there is an inverserelationship between price and quantity demanded. Economists callthis the Law of Demand. If the price goes up, the quantity demandedgoes down (but demand itself stays the same). If the price decreases,quantity demanded increases. This is the Law of Demand. On a graph,an inverse relationship is represented by a downward sloping linefrom left to right.

Why?

Why is the law of demand true? Why is the demand curve downwardsloping from left to right? Why do people buy more at lower pricesand less at higher prices?

As social scientists, economists try to explain human behavior. Itis common sense that people behave this way - but how can we explainit? Economists have three explanations:

  1. diminishing marginal utility
  2. income effects
  3. substitution effects

    Diminishing Marginal Utility

    We learned in the 5Es lesson that equity helps reduce scarcity because of the law of diminishing marginal utility. This economic principle also explains why the demand curve is downward sloping.

    Utility is the reason we consume a good or service. You might call it satisfaction. I get satisfaction (utility) when I drive my boat. I get utility (satisfaction?) when I go to the dentist or go skiing. "Marginal" means EXTRA or ADDITIONAL. So, according to the law of diminishing marginal utility, the EXTRA (not the total) utility diminishes for each additional unit consumed. If we are receiving less extra utility when we buy one more of a product, we won't be willing to pay the same price. After all, it is the marginal utility that we are paying for.

    The first piece of pizza that I consume I really enjoy. It gives me a lot of utility. But after a few pieces, I don't get as much additional satisfaction from one more piece as I did from the first piece. I am beginning to "get sick of it". "Getting "sick of it" is diminishing marginal utility. So, I will only buy a second piece if it has a lower price, since I am getting less additional utility from the second piece. This explains why we buy more ONLY IF the price goes down and why we buy less ONLY IF the price goes up. It explains the law of demand.

    Income Effect

    Another explanation of why the law of demand explains human behavior is the "income effect". Remember that we are trying to explain why the quantity demanded increases if the price decreases or why the demand curve is downward sloping from left to right.

    If the price of price of pizza decreases what happens to your income?

    Demand and Supply (6)price of pizza Demand and Supply (7) ?? income Demand and Supply (8) Demand and Supply (9) quantity of pizza demanded

    (NOTE: the "Demand and Supply (10)" means "causes".)

    Nothing happens to your income when the price of pizza decreases? (Do you get a raise when Pizza Hut has a sale?), BUT your REAL income (or the purchasing power of your income will increase.

    Demand and Supply (11) price of pizza Demand and Supply (12) Demand and Supply (13) real income Demand and Supply (14) Demand and Supply (15) quantity of pizza demanded

    So, when pizza prices decrease your real income increases. (This is like the price of pizza staying the same but you get a raise.) The result is that we buy more pizza (the quantity of pizza demanded increases when the price decreases.) This explains why the law of demand is true.

    Substitution Effect

    The third explanation of the law of demand is the "substitution effect". Remember that we are trying to explain why the quantity demanded increases if the price decreases or why the demand curve is downward sloping from left to right.

    Demand and Supply (16) price of pizza Demand and Supply (17) ?? price of Chinese food Demand and Supply (18) Demand and Supply (19) quantity of pizza demanded

    If the price of pizza decreases what happens to the price of Chinese food at the restaurant down the street? Probably nothing. (I know that the Chinese restaurant where My wife and I eat does not change their prices when Pizza Hut has a sale.) But the RELATIVE price of Chinese food does increase. compared to pizza, Chinese food looks more expensive.

    Demand and Supply (20) price of pizza Demand and Supply (21)Demand and Supply (22) relative price of Chinese food Demand and Supply (23) Demand and Supply (24) quantity of pizza demanded

    Now, as my wife and I drive past Pizza Hut on our way to the Chinese restaurant and we see that Pizza Hut has a sale (Demand and Supply (25) price of pizza) we start to think that the Chinese food seems more expensive compared to the now cheaper pizza ( Demand and Supply (26) relative price of Chinese food ). So we may decide to eat at Pizza Hut and substitute pizza for the relatively more expensive Chinese food ( Demand and Supply (27) quantity of pizza demanded). This helps explain why we buy more pizza when the price decreases.

Market Demand

Definition:

Market demand is the horizontal summation of the individual demand curves. Or, instead of just my individual demand for a product what if there were two people, or more, in the market. the result would be tat for each price, the quantities demanded would be greater since there are more people. The prices stay the same, but the quantities get larger, or the demand graph shifts horizontally (to the left).

Graphically:

Demand and Supply (28)

Sample Problem:

Given the following individuals' demand schedules for product X, and assuming these are the only three consumers of X, which set of prices and output levels below will be on the market demand curve for this product?

Demand and Supply (29)

A.

($5, 2); ($1, 10)

B.

($5, 3); ($1, 18)

C.

($4, 6); ($2, 12)

D.

($4, 0); ($1, 3)

ANSWER

Determinants of Demand

The price of the product

Economists stress the importance of price in determining how much people will buy. That is why they put price on the demand graph, but there are other things that affect how much of a product we buy besides the price. When we developed my demand curve for pizza we employed the ceteris paribus assumption. I didn't get a large increase in my income. I didn't win the lottery. There wasn't a new study out that stated pizzas cause cancer. All other factors remained the same - only the price and quantity demanded changed.

But there are other determinants of how much we demand (or buy) besides the price. We call these the Non-Price determinants of Demand.

The non-price determinants ofdemand

Let's not talk about pizzas anymore and use a new product in our examples. - - - How about vodka? We know that when the price of vodka goes up we buy less and when the price goes down we buy more (this is the law of demand). But what else might cause us to buy more vodka besides the price? In other words, IF THE PRICE OF VODKA STAYED THE SAME, what might cause us to buy more or less vodka?

Economists classify the non-price determinants of demand into 5 groups:

  1. expected price (Pe)
  2. price of other goods (Pog)
  3. income (I or Y) (In Macroeconomics "I" usually stands for "investment" and "Y" stands for "income".)
  4. number of POTENTIAL consumers (Npot), and
  5. tastes and preferences (T).

Let's briefly look at each one here and in more detail later.

Pe - If we hear that there will be a new $5 tax on a bottle of vodka beginning next week, what happens to the amount of vodka sold this week at the current price? It probably increases since some people will buy more now to avoid the higher future prices.

Pog - What happens to the amount of vodka sold if the price of gin increases? Might not some people who were going to buy gin buy vodka instead since the price of gin went up? Or what might happen to vodka sales if the price of tomato juice goes down? maybe now with the cheaper tomato juice prices some people might want to drink more bloody marys (vodka mixed with tomato juice)? If so, vodka sales would go up.

Y (or I) - If I get a raise and my income increases I might buy more vodka - or if my income goes down I would probably buy less vodka. (And if I lost my job I might buy a lot of vodka :-)

Npot - What would happen to vodka sales if they lowered the drinking age. This would increase the number of potential vodka consumers and they would probably sell more vodka.

Finally T - Tastes and preferences really means "everything else". There are hundreds of factors that affect the quantity of vodka sold. We don't want to memorize hundreds of different determinants for each product, so economists group everything else into "tastes and preferences". Anything that might make consumers want more or less vodka will change the quantity sold. For example, if a new study says that drinking vodka causes blindness - people will buy less. Right before a holiday people may buy more.

In order to remember these determinants of demand, think of somebody who has had too much vodka to drink and they come staggering into a liquor store demanding, "G-g-give m-me an-n-n-nother p-p-p-pint of v-v-vodka".

Get it? "p-p-p-pint " or P, P, P, I, N, T or Px, Pe, Pog, I, Npot, T

In order to save me time in typing, I will type "P, P, I, N, T" instead of "the non-price determinants of demand".

Two Kinds of Changes Involving Demand

If the price of a product increases what happens to demand forthat product? For example, If the price of pizza increases, then thedemand for pizza does what? NOTHING, demand does not changewhen the price changes, but the quantity demanded does change. Thissection will help us to better understand the difference between achange in quantity demanded (Demand and Supply (30)Qd)and a change in demand itself (Demand and Supply (31)D).[The triangle, "Demand and Supply (32)",means "change".]

Change in Quantity Demanded (Demand and Supply (33)Qd)

A change in quantity demanded caused ONLY by a change in the PRICEof the product. On a graph it is represented by a movement ALONG aSINGLE demand curve.

Demand and Supply (34)

So if the price of pizza increase from $6 to $9 we will get andecrease in quantity demanded (Demand and Supply (35)Qd)from 5 pizzas to 3 pizzas. This does not change the demand schedule(the numbers in the table do not change) or the demand curve (thedemand curve does not move). Demand does not change. But it doesresult in a movement along the SAME demand curve.

Change in Demand (Demand and Supply (36)D)

When there is a change in demand itself we get a new demandschedule (new numbers) and curve (it moves). We have to change thenumbers in the demand schedule and this will SHIFT the demandcurve.

If there is an increase in demand ( Demand and Supply (37)D) the numbers on the table get bigger and when we plotthese larger numbers the demand curve moves to the RIGHT.

Demand and Supply (38)

When we say that the demand curves shift to the right, it meansthat we have to change the numbers on the demand schedule. For thesame prices, the quantities increase. This shifts the curve to theRIGHT.

A decrease in demand will then shift the demand curve to the LEFT.For each price on the demand schedule, the quantities decrease.

Demand and Supply (39)

Be sure to draw your arrows to the RIGHT and LEFT. Many studentswant to draw the arrows perpendicular to the demand curve. Don't dothis. Always draw your arrows horizontally because this indicates thethe prices are the same, and only the quantities change. It does NOTshift up nor up and to the right. It moves horizontally to the right.Look at the black arrows in these graphs. They are horizontal. Thisis important, please always draw you arrows horizontally. This isespecially true when we discuss a change in supply later.

A change in demand is caused by a CHANGE in the non-pricedeterminants of demand:

Non-price determinants of demand: Demand and Supply (40)Pe,Demand and Supply (41)Pog,Demand and Supply (42)I,Demand and Supply (43)Npot,Demand and Supply (44)T

If these change we get a new demand schedule and curve. Tounderstand why prices are what they are, and why they change, we needto understand very well how these determinants move the demand curve.This is where it all begins. In our definition of demand we heldthese things constant (ceteris paribus), but in the real worldthese things do change, changing demand, and ultimately changingprices. So let's look at each determinant individually to understandhow they each affect demand. these determinants are very important.Be sure you know how they work (i.e. learn the DIRECTION of theARROWS).

Demand and Supply (45)Pe-- expected price

Demand and Supply (46)Pe in the future Demand and Supply (47) Demand and Supply (48)D today
Demand and Supply (49)Pe in the future Demand and Supply (50) Demand and Supply (51)D today

If you expect the price to go up in the future demand today will increase (shift to the right). For example, if we read that there will be a new tax on vodka starting next week, people will want to buy more now before the price increases. Retailers understand this. How often have you heard "SALE ENDS MONDAY"? They want you to expect the price to increase in the future so you'll buy it today.

The opposite happens when you expect the price to go down in the future. In the past when my wife and I were shopping whenever I put something in the cart, she would take it out and put it back on the shelf! I'd ask, "why are you doing that?". She would say that she expected it to go on sale soon and we should wait until it does. If you expect the price to go down in the future demand today decreases. (f ¯Pe in the future Þ ¯D today). But, whenever I put something in the cart, she would take it out saying that she expects it to go on sale soon. After awhile I got a little upset, when I'd ask her about the items she put in the cart and she'd say that they were on sale last week and we missed it. Finally, I went to talk to the store manager and explained the situation to him. He saved our marriage by explaining that most chain store have a policy stating that if an item goes on sale after you have purchased it, you can bring in the receipt within 30 days and get a refund. Retailers understand how price expectations affect demand.

Demand and Supply (52)Pog-- price of other goods

The effect of a change in the price of other goods on demand depends on what type of other goods we are talking about. There are three types:

1) substitute goods

Substitute goods are goods where if you buy more of one, you buy less of the other one. Examples of substitutes include vodka and gin, hot dogs and hamburgers, chicken and beef, Coca-Cola and Pepsi.

Let's look at co*ke and Pepsi. If the price of co*ke increases it will increase the demand for Pepsi (the graph shifts to the right).I f you are going to buy a can of co*ke, you may walk right past the Pepsi machine, but when you notice that the price of co*ke has increased, you'll probably turn around and buy the Pepsi. You weren't going to buy Pepsi before, but now, at the same price, you are willing to buy it. So the demand for Pepsi has increased. The demand curve has shifted to the right. At the same prices, the quantities demanded are greater.

If the price of co*ke increases, what happens to the demand for co*ke? - - - NOTHING. Price does not change demand (as we have defined it) but it will change the quantity demanded.

You've seen a good example of this in your local grocery store. For example, I may want to buy some coffee. So I go to the coffee aisle and grab a can of Folgers and continue down the aisle. But at the end of the aisle I see a display of Maxwell House coffee on sale! What do I do with the Folgers in my shopping cart? - - - - - No, I don't put it back. I take it out of my cart and put it on the Maxwell House display. Haven't you seen various brands mixed in with such displays? The demand for Folgers decreased (I no longer want it at that price, so I take it out of my cart) because the price of Maxwell House decreased.

If: Demand and Supply (53)P Maxwell House coffee Demand and Supply (54) Demand and Supply (55)D Folgers coffee

2) complementary goods

Complementary goods are goods where if you buy more of one you also buy more of the other one. they go together like vodka and tomato juice, rum and co*ke, film and film developing, hot dogs and hot dog buns.

Let's say that you want to eat hot dogs tonight and you go to your local grocery store and put a bag of buns in your cart and head down the aisle to the wieners. When you get to the wiener display you notice that their price has increased significantly so you decide not to eat hot dogs. What are you going to do with the buns? You should put them back, but if you are like many people you'll put them in the wiener display and move on quickly. But the point is, you were going to buy the buns at their present price (they were already in your cart), but when you learned the price of hot dogs increased your demand for buns decreased (the demand curve shifted to the left - at the same prices the quantities demanded decreased).

Demand and Supply (56) P of wieners Demand and Supply (57) Demand and Supply (58)D of buns

Of course, if the price of one product decreases (cheaper film developing), the demand for its complement (film) increases.

Demand and Supply (59)P of one product Demand and Supply (60) Demand and Supply (61) D of its compliment

3) independent goods

Independent goods are goods where if the price of one changes, it has no effect on the demand for to other one. For example, what happens to the demand for paper clips if the price of surfboards increases? Nothing.

Summary (Pog):

Demand and Supply (62) P of one product Demand and Supply (63) Demand and Supply (64) D of its substitute
Demand and Supply (65)P of one product Demand and Supply (66) Demand and Supply (67)D of its substitute

Demand and Supply (68) P of one product Demand and Supply (69) Demand and Supply (70)D of its compliment
Demand and Supply (71)P of one product Demand and Supply (72) Demand and Supply (73) D of its compliment

Demand and Supply (74)I-- income

1) normal goods
For most goods, called normal goods, if consumer incomes increase, demand will increase and vice versa.

Demand and Supply (75) Income Demand and Supply (76) Demand and Supply (77) D for normal goods
Demand and Supply (78)Income Demand and Supply (79) Demand and Supply (80)D for normal goods

So if incomes increase, the demand curve for restaurant meals, and cars, and boats, will shift to the right. At the same prices people will buy more.

2) inferior goods

For some goods, called inferior goods, if consumer incomes increase demand will decrease, and vice versa. If only you had more money, you would buy less of that product

Demand and Supply (81) Income Demand and Supply (82) Demand and Supply (83)D for inferior goods
Demand and Supply (84)Income Demand and Supply (85) Demand and Supply (86) D for inferior goods

The term "inferior good" does not mean they are of low quality. the definition of an inferior good is one where if your income increases, demand decreases. There is an inverse relationship between income and demand.

Examples of inferior goods might include used clothing, potatoes, rice, maybe generic foods. If you lose your job (so your income decreases) you may shop for clothes at the Salvation Army Thrift Store (demand for used clothing increases).

What is a normal good for one consumer might be an inferior good for another. For example, if the income of one family increases they may buy a second small car (a normal good), but for another family, an increase in income may mean that they don't buy a small car (an inferior good) anymore and they buy a mini van instead.

Demand and Supply (87)Npot-- number of POTENTIAL consumers

An increase in the number of potential consumers will increase demand and vice versa.

Demand and Supply (88)Npot Demand and Supply (89) Demand and Supply (90) D
Demand and Supply (91)Npot Demand and Supply (92) Demand and Supply (93)D

Earlier we say that if they lowered the drinking age, the demand for vodka would increase.

Often economists say that an increase in the "number of consumers" will increase demand. I prefer to use the terminology "number of POTENTIAL consumers" because if K-Mart has a sale on Pepsi (price of Pepsi decreases) what happens to demand for Pepsi? -- Nothing (price does not change the demand schedule). But, if K-Mart has a sale on Pepsi (price of Pepsi decreases) what happens to the number of consumers buying Pepsi? It will increase. (The law of demand says that if price goes down, quantity demanded goes up.) So, if they have more customers because the price went down, what happens to demand? Nothing - (price does not change the demand schedule).

But, if the number of POTENTIAL customers changes, demand will change.

Four circ*mstances can change the number of potential consumers:

  1. population change
    If a new housing development is built in the empty field behind a small store, the number of potential consumers increases, and demand will increase.
  2. expanded marketing area
    Coors beer used to sold only out West. President Ford used to have to have it flown in to the While House because you couldn't buy it anyplace else. Then when Coors expanded to all states, demand increased because now there are more potential consumers.
  3. new competitor (changes the demand curve facing and individual store, but NOT market demand curve)
    If a new liquor store moves in across the street from and existing store, the demand for liquor of the existing store will decrease since now there are fewer potential consumers since some of the consumers walking past the store will have already bought something at the new store.
  4. change in eligible consumers (i.e. drinking age)
    If they lower the drinking age there will be more potential vodka drinkers so demand for vodka will increase.

Demand and Supply (94)T-- tastes and preferences

There are hundreds of factors that affect the quantity of vodka sold. We don't want to memorize hundreds of different determinants for each product, so economists group everything else into "tastes and preferences". Tastes and preferences really refers to "everything else". Anything that increases a consumer's preference for a product will increase demand for that product. This will include advertising and fads.

Supply

Introduction

Supply is more difficult for students to understand than demand.We are all consumers (demanders), but few of us own a business(suppliers). So, remember to think of yourself as a business ownerwhen we discuss supply.

Definition

Supply is a schedule which shows the various quantities businessesare willing and able to offer for sale at various prices in a giventime period, ceteris paribus.

Supply is NOT the quantity available for sale. This is theway the term is often used in the popular press. Supply is the wholeschedule with many prices and many quantities.

Just like with demand, there is a difference between a change inquantity supplied and a change in supply itself. So, if the priceincreases what happens to supply? The best WRONG answer would be"supply increases", but it doesn't. Price does not change supply, itchanges quantity supplied, because supply means the whole schedulewith various prices and various quantities.

Supply Schedule and Curve

Below is a hypothetical supply schedule for pizza.

Demand and Supply (95)

If we plot these points (remember any point on a graph simplyrepresents two numbers) We get the graph below.

Demand and Supply (96)

If we assume there are quantities and prices in-between those onthe schedule we get a supply curve.

Demand and Supply (97)

Law of Supply

The law of supply states that there is a direct relationshipbetween price and quantity supplied. In other words, when the priceincreases the quantity supplied also increases. This is representedby an upward sloping line from left to right.

Why?

Why is the law of supply true? Why is the supply curve upwardsloping? Why will businesses supply more pizzas only id the price ishigher? I think it is just common sense. If you want the pizza placesto work harder and longer and produce more pizzas, you have to paythem more, per pizza. But economists, as social science, want toexplain common sense. We know businesses behave this way, butwhy?

There are two explanations for the law of supply and both have todo with increasing costs. Businesses require a higher price per pizzato produce more pizzas because they have higher costs per pizza.Why?

First, there are increasing costs because of the law of increasingcosts. In a previous lecture we explained that the productionpossibilities curve is concave to the origin because of the law ofincreasing costs. the law of increasing costs is true because not allresources are identical. Let's say a pizza place is just opening. Theowner figures that they will need five employees. After putting an adin the paper there are twenty applicants. Five have had experienceworking in a pizza place before. They came to the interview clean andon time. The other fifteen had no work experience. Many came late. Afew were caught steeling pepperoni on the way out. One spilled flourall over the floor. Which applicants will be hired? Of course it willbe the five with experience and the other fifteen will be rejectedbecause they would be too costly to hire. NOW, if the pizza placewants to produce more pizzas they will need more workers. This meansthey will have to hire some of those who were rejected because theywere more costly (less experienced, etc.). So, they will only hirethe more costly employees if they can get a higher price to cover thehigher costs. this is one explanation why the supply curve is upwardsloping.

Second, there are increasing costs because some resources arefixed. This should not make sense to you. Why would there beincreasing costs if we use the same quantity of some resource? Well,let's say that the size of the kitchen and the number of ovens(capital resources) are fixed. This means that they don't change.Now, if we want to produce more pizzas you will have to cram moreworkers into the same size kitchen. As they bump into each other andwait for an oven to be free they still get paid, but the cost perpizza increases. Therefore they will not produce more pizza unlessthey can get a higher price to cover these higher per unit costs. Sothe supply curve should be upward sloping.

Market Supply

Market supply is the horizontal summation of the individual supplycurves. Instead of looking at how many pizzas one pizza place iswilling and able to produce at different prices (individual supply),we keep the prices the same and add the quantities of additionalpizza places. Prices stay the same, but quantities increase becausethere are more pizza suppliers. So the market supply of pizzas isfurther to the right (horizontal) than the individual pizza placesupply curves.

determinants of Supply

The price of the product(Demand and Supply (98)P)

Economists stress the importance of price in determining how much will be produced. That is why they put price on the supply graph, but there are other things that affect how much of a product will be produced besides the price. When we developed the supply curve for pizza we employed the ceteris paribus assumption. we assumed all other things stayed constant. For example there were no new technological discoveries, the prices of resources stayed the same, or no change in taxes. All other factors remained the same - only the price and quantity supplied changed.

But there are other determinants of how much business supply besides the price. We call these the Non-Price determinants of Supply.

The non-price determinants ofSupply

Economists classify the non-price determinants of supply into 6 groups:
a. Pe -- expected price
b. Pog -- price of other goods ALSO PRODUCED BY THE FIRM
c. Pres -- price of resources
d. T --technology
e. T --taxes and subsidies
f. N -- number of producers/sellers
Non-price determinants of supply: Demand and Supply (99)Pe, Demand and Supply (100)Pog, Demand and Supply (101)Pres, Demand and Supply (102)Tech, Demand and Supply (103)Tax, Demand and Supply (104)Nprod

Two Kinds of Changes Involving Supply

Change in Quantity Supplied (Demand and Supply (105)Qs)

A change in Quantity supplied caused ONLY by a change in the PRICEof the product. It is represented by a movement ALONG a SINGLE supplycurve.

Demand and Supply (106)

Change in Supply (Demand and Supply (107)S)

A change in supply is a shifting the supply curve because there isa new supply schedule. The supply curve either moves left or right(horizontally) since the prices stay the same and only the quantitieschange and quantity is on the horizontal axis. Be sure to draw yourarrows to the RIGHT and LEFT. Many students want to draw the arrowsperpendicular to the supply curve. Don't do this. Always draw yourarrows horizontally because this indicates the the prices are thesame, and only the quantities change. Also, if you draw you arrowsperpendicular to the supply curve and arrow pointing UP will indicatea DECREASE in supply. That could get confusing!

A change in supply is caused by a change in the non-pricedeterminants of supply. These are the factors that we assumed wereconstant when we used the ceteris paribus assumption todevelop the supply curve.

Increase in Supply

If there is an increase in supply ( Demand and Supply (108) S) the supply curve moves to the RIGHT. At the same prices, the quantities supplied will be greater

Demand and Supply (109)

Decrease in Supply

If there is an decrease in supply ( Demand and Supply (110) S) the supply curve moves to the LEFT. At the same prices, the quantities supplied will be smaller.
Demand and Supply (111)

A increase in supply does NOT shift the graph up nor up andto the left. It moves horizontally to the RIGHT. Be sure todraw your arrow HORIZONTALLY. If you draw the arrow perpendicular tothe supply curves than you will shift the graph the WRONG WAY! Lookat the black arrows in these graphs. They are horizontal. This isimportant, please always draw you arrows horizontally. This isespecially true when we discuss a change in supply later. Adecrease in supply does NOT shift the graph down nor down and tothe right. It moves horizontally to the LEFT.

Changes in supply are caused by a CHANGE in the non-pricedeterminants of supply

Demand and Supply (112)Pe -- change in expected price
Demand and Supply (113)Pog -- change in price of other goods ALSO PRODUCED BY THE FIRM
Demand and Supply (114)Pres -- change in price of resources
Demand and Supply (115)Tech -- change in technology
Demand and Supply (116)Tax -- change in taxes and subsidies
Demand and Supply (117)Nprod -- change in number of producers/sellers

Let's look at these determinants on at a time. We must know howthey shift the supply curve if we are to use the supply and demandtool to understand how prices are determined in a marketeconomy.

Demand and Supply (118)Pe-- expected price

If a business expects that they can get a higher price in the future, what will happen to supply today? They will be less willing to sell there products today because they will know that if they waited they could get a higher price so supply today would decrease, shift to the left. (Remember, supply is not the quantity available for sale.)

Let's say that you want to sell you car, somebody offers you $1500 today, and you accept it. You are willing to sell your car for $1500 today. THEN, somebody says that they will dive you $2000 for your car if you could wait three days. Now you expect that you can get a higher price ($2000) in the future, so you will probably no longer want to sell your car for $1500 today.

Demand and Supply (119) Pe Demand and Supply (120) Demand and Supply (121) S today
Demand and Supply (122) Pe Demand and Supply (123) Demand and Supply (124)S today

Demand and Supply (125)Pog-- price of other goods ALSO PRODUCED BY THE FIRM

First, think of a business that produces two products, like farmers who can either grow corn or soybeans. Then the price of one increases, what happens to the supply of the other one.

So if the price of soybeans increases, what happens to the supply of corn?

If the price of soybeans increases the supply of corn will decrease. The supply curve of corn will shift to the left as farmers plant more soybeans and less corn.

Demand and Supply (126) P soybeans Demand and Supply (127) Demand and Supply (128) S corn
Demand and Supply (129) P soybeans Demand and Supply (130) Demand and Supply (131) S corn

If the price of soybeans increases, what happens to the supply of soybeans?

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Nothing. Remember, price does not change supply, it changes the quantity supplied. so if the price of soybeans increases, we would get an increase in the quantity supplied (same supply curve, higher quantity).

The price of resources ( Demand and Supply (132)Pres), improved technology (Demand and Supply (133)Tech),and taxes and subsidies (Demand and Supply (134)Tax)all affect supply because they change the costs of production

Demand and Supply (135) costs Demand and Supply (136) Demand and Supply (137) S (shifts left)
Demand and Supply (138) costs Demand and Supply (139) Demand and Supply (140) S (shifts right)

Demand and Supply (141)Pres-- price of resources

If the price of a resource used to produce the product increases, this will increase the costs of production and the producer will no longer be willing to offer the same quantity at the same price. They will want a higher price to cover the higher costs. This shifts the supply curve to the left (Demand and Supply (142) S).

For Example: if the autoworkers unions receives a significant wage increase, this will increase the costs of producing cars and decrease the supply of cars (Demand and Supply (143) S).

Demand and Supply (144) P autoworkers wages Demand and Supply (145) Demand and Supply (146) costs of producing cars Demand and Supply (147) Demand and Supply (148) S cars

Demand and Supply (149) Pres Demand and Supply (150) Demand and Supply (151) costs Demand and Supply (152) Demand and Supply (153) S
Demand and Supply (154) Pres Demand and Supply (155) Demand and Supply (156) costs Demand and Supply (157)Demand and Supply (158) S

Demand and Supply (159)Tech--technology

Does improved technology increase or decrease the costs of producing a product?

Improved technology DECREASES costs and therefore increases supply. If the technology did not decrease costs, then it wouldn't be used. If there is a high-tech expensive way to produce a product and a low-cost, low-tech, way to produce the same product, companies that use the low-cost methods will be able to sell the product at a lower price and beat out the high-cost producers.

Improved technology Demand and Supply (160) Demand and Supply (161) costs Demand and Supply (162) Demand and Supply (163) S

What has improved technology done to the costs of medical care? Improved medical technology has INCREASED the cost of medical care BUT it has also changed the outcome. For example let's say that there is a disease where with existing low-cost technology, half the patients die. Now, if they invent a new high-cost technology that will save all lives which technology will be used? Of course the new high-cost technology will be used, BUT THE PRODUCT HAS CHANGED. One product is when half the patients die, the other product is when all patients live. We can't put two products on one supply curve.

Let's use one more medical example. Why do doctors still use low-tech stethoscopes? they were using similar stethoscopes a hundred years ago. Isn't here a high-tech electronic stethoscope? Yes there is, so why don't doctors use it? Because it is more expensive AND IT GIVES THE SAME RESULTS. Doctors will use the cheaper technology as long as the results are the same. but obstetricians do use the more expensive high-tech stethoscope because it gives them better results. The low-tech stethoscopes can't always pick out the fetal heart beat. the newer high-tech and higher-cost electronic stethoscopes can. The product changes.

So, improved technology will decrease costs and increase supply OR it will increase costs and change the product which we cannot put on one graph.

Demand and Supply (164)Tax--taxes and subsidies

Here we will discuss excise taxes. Excise taxes are a "per-unit" tax imposed on the production or sale of a product. Examples include the gasoline tax (so much per gallon), the cigarette tax (so much per pack) and the liquor tax (so much per bottle).

Let's discuss the gasoline tax. If the tax on gasoline increases will this affect the demand for gasoline or the supply of gasoline? If you said demand - then which non-price determinant of demand has changed? remember price does not change demand.

If the tax on gasoline increases, this will raise the cost of SELLING gasoline, and DECREASE SUPPLY.

Demand and Supply (165) Taxes Demand and Supply (166) Demand and Supply (167) costs Demand and Supply (168) Demand and Supply (169) S
Demand and Supply (170) Taxes Demand and Supply (171) Demand and Supply (172) costs Demand and Supply (173) Demand and Supply (174) S

Who pays the gasoline tax? Who pays the wages of the gas station employees? Whether you answer the consumer of the gas station owner, you have to give the same answer for both questions. Both taxes and wages are costs to the producer or seller. Higher gasoline taxes do not shift the demand curve, but they may result in a higher price and therefore a decrease in quantity demanded.

Subsidies are the opposite of taxes. Instead of the business paying the government, the government pays the business. There are fewer subsidies than taxes. But let's say the the government wants to encourage the use of solar energy so they put a subsidy (or increase one) on solar energy equipment. this will decrease the costs of producing or selling the equipment because when they produce or sell one they get a refund (subsidy) from the government.

Demand and Supply (175) Subsidies Demand and Supply (176) Demand and Supply (177) costs Demand and Supply (178) Demand and Supply (179) S
Demand and Supply (180) Subsidies Demand and Supply (181) Demand and Supply (182) costs Demand and Supply (183) Demand and Supply (184) S

Demand and Supply (185)N-- number of producers/sellers

An increase in the number of producers of a product will increase supply of that product. If the number of computer manufacturers increases, the supply of computers will increase (shift to the right).

Demand and Supply (186) Nprod Demand and Supply (187) Demand and Supply (188) S
Demand and Supply (189) Nprod Demand and Supply (190) Demand and Supply (191) S

Market Equilibrium -- Equilibrium Price and Quantity

Now we are ready to discuss PRICES. At the top of this onlinelecture I said:

"In a capitalist society prices are determined by the interaction of demand and supply. Since prices are so important, we need to better understand how they are determined. why is the price of gasoline $1.59 a gallon. Why does a candy bar cost $0.75? Why is the price of plywood normally $10 a sheet, but $30 a sheet after a hurricane?"

Market Equilibrium

Equilibrium means that there is no further tendency to change.When something is at equilibrium, it is at rest, not changing. Like apendulum. When it is swinging, it is changing. We call thisdisequilibrium. Eventually, it will stop swinging and achieveequilibrium.

Prices do something similar. They move toward an equilibrium wherethey come to rest and don't change. But just like you can push apendulum and cause it to swing and then slow down and achieveequilibrium again, prices can be "pushed" and they will change to anew equilibrium. It is the non-price determinants of demand andsupply that "push" prices to a new equilibrium. We call this "marketequilibrium".

The equilibrium price is the price where the quantity demandedequals the quantity supplied. ("Market clearing" or "market price" isanother name for equilibrium price.)

Qd = Qs

Sometimes I hear people say that equilibrium is where demandequals supply. It is impossible for the whole demand curve to be thesame as the whole supply curve because the demand curve slopesdownward and the supply curve slopes upward.(NOT: D = S), but thereis one price where the quantity demanded equals the quantitysupplied.

Demand and Supply (192)

Market Disequilibrium

Why will the price of pizzas be $9? Well, let's take a look atwhat happens if the price is not at equilibrium.

If the price is $12, the quantity demanded is 2000 (Qd = 2000) andthe quantity that businesses are willing to supply is 4000 (Qs =4000). The result will be a surplus of 2000 pizzas (4000 -2000 = 2000). If there is a surplus (more available than consumersare willing to purchase) the price will change - decrease. Twelvedollars is not equilibrium - it will change.

See graph.

Demand and Supply (193)

If the price is $6, the quantity demanded is 5000 (Qd = 5000) andthe quantity that businesses are willing to supply is 2000 (Qs =2000). The result will be a shortage of 3000 pizzas (5000 -2000 = 3000). If there is a shortage (consumers are willing topurchase more than is available) the price will change - increase.Six dollars is not equilibrium - it will change.

See graph.

Demand and Supply (194)

Changes in Demand AND Supply

Now that we can find equilibrium AND we know what causes supply ordemand to change, let's see what happens to the equilibrium price andquantity if supply and/or demand changes. After we do this, we willput it all together. It all begins with a change in one of the elevennon-price determinants:

DEMAND: Demand and Supply (195)Pe, Demand and Supply (196)Pog, Demand and Supply (197)I, Demand and Supply (198)Npot, Demand and Supply (199)T
SUPPLY: Demand and Supply (200)Pe, Demand and Supply (201)Pog, Demand and Supply (202)Pres, Demand and Supply (203)Tech, Demand and Supply (204)Tax, Demand and Supply (205)Nprod

so you must know how they affect the graphs.We discussed this above and will review it again soon. Here, let'sjust concentrate on what happens to price and quantity if demandand/or supply changes.

Case 1: D changes and supply stays the same

If demand increases (shifts to the right) what effect will thishave on PRICE and QUANTITY. Be sure to DRAW THE GRAPHS. You canprobably guess what will happen to price and quantity and get itcorrect quite often, but why guess when you can draw the graphs andget it right almost all the time? BE SURE TO DRAW THE GRAPHS!

So, if demand increases and supply stays the same you get (seegraph):

Demand and Supply (206)

Demand increases:

  • price increases
  • quantity increases

If demand decreases (shifts to the left) and supply stays the sameyou get (see graph):

Demand and Supply (207)

Demand decreases:

  • price decreases
  • quantity decreases

This is quite easy, but the key to understanding this are thenon-price determinants of supply and demand. We will review themsoon.

Case 2: S changes and demand stays the same

If supply increases (shifts to the right) what effect will thishave on PRICE and QUANTITY. Be sure to DRAW THE GRAPHS. You canprobably guess what will happen to price and quantity and get itcorrect quite often, but why guess when you can draw the graphs andget it right almost all the time? BE SURE TO DRAW THE GRAPHS!

So, if supply increases and demand stays the same you get (seegraph):

Demand and Supply (208)

Supply increases:

  • price decreases
  • quantity increases

If supply decreases (shifts to the left) and demand staysthe same you get (see graph):

Demand and Supply (209)

Supply decreases:

  • price increases
  • quantity decreases

Case 3: D and S both change

What if BOTH supply and demand change at the same time? This meanswhat happens to price and quantity if a non-price determinant andsupply AND a non-price determinant of demand change shifting thegraphs at the same time?

1. S increases, D decreases

DON'TLOOK!!!

Graph it right now and determine what would happen to price and quantity if supply increases and demand decreases.

In a face-to-face class I would have my students do this themselves and tell me what happens to P and Q. So let's do it in this distance learning class.

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What do you get? What happens to price and quantity if supply increases (shifts to the right) and demand decreases (shifts to the left)?

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Demand and Supply (210)

If supply increases and demand decreases:

  • price decreases
  • quantity is Indeterminate

The price will decrease, but we cannot tell what happens to quantity. Quantity could increase, it could decrease or it could stay the same. What happens to quantity depends on how much the supply and demand curves shift and since we were not told this, we cannot determine what happens to quantity. Quantity is indeterminate.

See the graph below where we can see that if demand decreases a little (D2) then the equilibrium quantity will increase, but if the demand curve decreases a lot (D4) the equilibrium quantity will decrease.

Demand and Supply (211)

2. S decreases, D increases

What happens to price and quantity if supply decrease and demand increases?

GRAPH IT!

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Demand and Supply (212)

If supply decreases and demand increases:

  • price increases
  • quantity is indeterminate

The price will increase, but we cannot tell what happens to quantity. Quantity could increase, it could decrease or it could stay the same. What happens to quantity depends on how much the supply and demand curves shift and since we were not told this, we cannot determine what happens to quantity. Quantity is indeterminate. Try graphing different shifts in D and S and see what happens to quantity.

3. S increases, D increases

What happens to price and quantity if both supply and demand increase (shift to the right)?

GRAPH IT before scrolling (or looking) lower on this page.

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Demand and Supply (213)

If supply increases and demand increases:

  • quantity increases
  • price is Indeterminate

The quantity will increase, but we cannot tell what happens to price. The price could increase, it could decrease or it could stay the same. What happens to the price depends on how much the supply and demand curves shift and since we were not told this, we cannot determine what happens to price. Price is indeterminate.

See the graph below where we can see that if supply increases a little (S1) then the equilibrium price will increase, but if the supply curve increases a lot (S3) the equilibrium price will decrease.

Demand and Supply (214)

4. S decreases, D decreases

What happens to price and quantity if supply decrease and demand increases?

GRAPH IT!

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Demand and Supply (215)

If supply decreases and demand decreases:

  • quantity decreases
  • price is indeterminate

The quantity will decrease, but we cannot tell what happens to price. price could increase, it could decrease, or it could stay the same. What happens to price depends on how much the supply and demand curves shift and since we were not told this, we cannot determine what happens to price. Price is indeterminate. Try graphing different shifts in D and S and see what happens to price.

Using Supply and Demand

Now let's put it all together. We can use our supply and demandmodel to understand why prices change. It all begins with thenon-price determinants of demand (Demand and Supply (216)Pe,Demand and Supply (217)Pog,Demand and Supply (218)I,Demand and Supply (219)Npot,Demand and Supply (220)T)and the non-price determinants of supply ( Demand and Supply (221)Pe,Demand and Supply (222)Pog,Demand and Supply (223)Pres,Demand and Supply (224)Tech,Demand and Supply (225)Tax,Demand and Supply (226)Nprod). These are the factors in the real world that cause pricesto change.

We will use supply and demand curves to illustrate how changes inthese non-price determinants will affect theprice andquantity of a product, ceterisparibus. Before you guess, answer the following questions:

(1) Which determinant has changed?
(2) Will it affect supply or demand?
(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?
(4) GRAPH IT! What happens to price and quantity?
EXAMPLE 1

Demand and Supply (227)

Assume the graph above represents the market for computers. Theequilibrium price is P1 and the equilibrium quantity is Q1. WHATHAPPENS TO THE PRICE AND QUANTITY OF COMPUTERS IF CONSUMER INCOMESINCREASE ceteris paribus ?

Our goal is to understand what happens to PRICE and QUANTITY, butdon't just guess. If you do just think about it and try to figure itout in your head, you'll probably get it right a lot of the time. Butwouldn't you rather get it right most, or all, of the time? We nowhave a tool (supply and demand) that we can use to better understandchanges in price and quantity. So use the tool. Once you get used toit you'll see its benefits.

Answer the four questions and the graph (tool) will give you theanswer.

(1) Which determinant has changed?
Sometimes this is obvious. In this example it is income.

(2) Will it affect supply or demand?

Income is a determinant of DEMAND. But at other times this is more difficult. For example Pe and Pog are determinants of BOTH demand and supply.

(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?

This is the key to using the tool correctly. We discussed above how the non-price determinants shift the curves. Computers are normal goods. This means that if incomes increase, demand for computers will increase.

(4) Finally, GRAPH IT! the graph will tell you what happens to price and quantity. See graph below.

Demand and Supply (228)

Demand and Supply (229)

The graph shows that if demand increases, the price willincrease and the quantity will increase.

Answer: So if consumer incomes increase, ceteris paribus,the price of computers will increase and consumers will buy more.

EXAMPLE 2

Demand and Supply (230)

Assume the graph above illustrates the market for electroniccalculators. If improved technology reducesthe costs of producing calculators, what will happen to the priceof calculators and to the quantity sold? (Be sure to use ourtool.)
(1) Which determinant has changed?
TECHNOLOGY

(2) Will it affect supply or demand?

SUPPLY

(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?

SUPPLY WILL INCREASE (shift to the right)

(4) GRAPH IT! What happens to price and quantity?

Demand and Supply (231)

Demand and Supply (232)

Answer: If the technology for producing calculators improves, theprice of calculators will decrease and the quantity sold willincreaseEXAMPLE 3

Demand and Supply (233)

Let's do one more like this.

If the graph above is for Nintendo 64 Video Game Systems, whatwill happen to the price and quantity if there is a decrease in theprice of personal computers?

(1) Which determinant has changed?
Pog - the product on the graph is Nintendo Video Game Systems and the price of another product, computers, has changed

(2) Will it affect supply or demand?

The non-price determinant, Pog, is a determinant for both supply and demand. With supply we said it refers to the price of other good PRODUCED BY THE SAME FIRM. Does Nintendo also produce computers? NO.

With demand, Pog refers to the price of substitute and the price of complements. Are video game systems and home computers substitutes or compliments? Most people would say they are substitutes. If you buy a new home computer, you can play games on the computer and maybe you won't buy a new video game system.

So, if there is a decrease in the price of personal computers, DEMAND FOR VIDEO GAME SYSTEMS WILL CHANGE.

(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?

if there is a decrease in the price of personal computers, DEMAND FOR VIDEO GAME SYSTEMS WILL DECREASE (shift to the left).

(4) GRAPH IT! What happens to price and quantity?

Demand and Supply (234)

Demand and Supply (235)

Answer: If there is a decrease in the price of personal computers,demand for video game systems will decrease (shift to the left) andthe price of video game systems will decrease and the quantity soldwill decrease"Real World" Examples

In the "real world" the determinants are not as easy to pick out.The tool still works, but it takes a little more practice.

If you read a newspaper or Internet news article about a productwhose price and/or quantity has changed, you can use supply anddemand to analyze WHY the price and/or quantity has changed. We knowthat changes in the non-price determinants of demand and supply causeprices and quantities to change. So, to understand why, we have tolook for the non-price determinants in the article.

REAL-WORLD EXAMPLE 1

Below is a portion of an article from CNNFN.COM http://cgi.cnnfn.com/output/pfv/2000/02/01/companies/pcs_prices/

Read the article looking for the cause of the price change andthen use our supply and demand graph to ILLUSTRATE what has happened.This will be similar to the extra credit question that you will haveon exam 1.

Remember to use our tool correctly:

(1) Which determinants have changed?
(2) Will they affect supply, demand, or both?
(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?
(4) GRAPH IT! Then show what happens to price and quantity?

Top PC makers cut prices

Compaq clears out old models; Dell passes on lower component costs

February 1, 2000: 2:44 p.m. ET

NEW YORK (CNNfn) - Two of the world's largest computer makers on Tuesday announced that they have cut prices on their commercial desktop PCs.
Compaq, the No. 1 PC maker, said it cut prices up to 13 percent on most of its Deskpro series commercial PCs. The price cuts are being made to clear the way for nine new Deskpro models. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Dell (DELL: Research, Estimates), the world's second largest supplier of PCs, said it was cutting prices because the cost of the components it uses to make them have also dropped.
Effective Monday, a Dell Precision WorkStation 210 with a Pentium III processor running at 650 million cycles per second will sell for $1,740, a 17.1 percent reduction, the company said. Dell also said it cut prices on the mid-range models in its Precision WorkStation 410 line by up to 15.5 percent.

(1) Which determinants have changed?

The article says "Dell (DELL: Research, Estimates), the world's second largest supplier of PCs, said it was cutting prices because the cost of the components it uses to make them have also dropped." This indicates the there has been a change in the price of resources (Demand and Supply (236)Pres)

(2) Will they affect supply, demand, or both?

SUPPLY

(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?

SUPPLY WILL INCREASE (shift to the right)

(4) GRAPH IT! Then show what happens to price and quantity?

Demand and Supply (237)

Demand and Supply (238)

Answer: As the article says, the price is decreasing.REAL-WORLD EXAMPLE 2

Below is a portion of an article from CNNFN.COM
http://cgi.cnnfn.com/output/pfv/2000/02/01/companies/pcs_prices/

Read the article looking for the cause of the price change andthen use our supply and demand graph to ILLUSTRATE what has happened.This will be similar to the extra credit question that you will haveon exam 1.

Remember to use our tool correctly:

(1) Which determinants have changed?
(2) Will they affect supply, demand, or both?
(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?
(4) GRAPH IT! Then show what happens to price and quantity?

Air customers to pay for fuel

With demand for seats still strong, most carriers announce fuel surcharges

By Staff Writer Chris Isidore
January 21, 2000: 3:54 p.m. ET

NEW YORK (CNNfn) - Airlines are finding a source of relief for oil price shocks they've rarely tapped before: their passengers.
With oil prices hitting a post-Gulf War high Friday, three more carriers - US Airways, America West and Trans World Airlines - announced surcharges, charging customers $20 per round-trip ticket on virtually all domestic flights.
That meant that eight of the nine largest carriers in the country now had the charges, with only No. 7 Southwest Airlines (LUV), the Dallas-based discount carrier, holding off at this time.

Demand for seats opens door


The surcharge is unique in its acceptance by the typically cutthroat airline industry, and is a sign that demand for air travel remains strong.
The Air Transport Association report that 71.3 percent of its members' seats were filled last year, the best rate in the history of passenger jet travel.

Demand and Supply (239)

With demand remaining strong despite the spike, airlines are in a better position to seek higher fares.
"In the past, when we had the tremendous run up in fuel, we also had a recession," said David Swierenga, the ATA's chief economist. "Those two things together clobbered the industry.
Now the economy is moving ahead, and carriers will have a little more flexibility on the pricing side."

. . . . . . . . .

ANSWER: I have highlighted in redthe important parts of this article.Let's analyze each one.

"Withoil prices hitting a post-Gulf War high Friday, three more carriers -US Airways, America West and Trans World Airlines - announcedsurcharges, charging customers $20 per round-trip ticket on virtuallyall domestic flights."

(1) Which determinant has changed?
PRICE OF RESOURCES. Oil (fuel) is a resources used by the airline industry

(2) Will they affect supply or demand?

SUPPLY

(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?

SUPPLY WILL DECREASE (shift to the left)

(4) GRAPH IT! Then show what happens to price and quantity?

Demand and Supply (240)

Demand and Supply (241)

So a result of the higher fuel prices is higher prices, but ourgraph shows the quantity going down and the article indicates thatquantity has stayed the same or increased a little. therefore weshould continue looking for determinants that have changed.

The article also says:

"Thesurcharge is unique in its acceptance by the typically cutthroatairline industry, and is a sign that demand for air travel remainsstrong."AND"Now the economy is moving ahead".

(1) Which determinant has changed?
INCOME ("The economy is moving ahead" means incomes are rising.)

(2) Will they affect supply or demand?

DEMAND

(3) Will supply or demand increase or decrease?

DEMAND WILL INCREASE (assuming air travel is a normal good)

(4) GRAPH IT! Then show what happens to price and quantity?

Demand and Supply (242)

Demand and Supply (243)

So as a result of the good economy we would expect prices toincrease and the number of travelers to increase.

NOW LET'S PUT BOTH CHANGES ON THE SAME GRAPH. You must dothis to show the overall effect of all changes. We have a decrease insupply caused by higher resource prices and an increase in demandcaused by higher incomes,

Demand and Supply (244)

The result is higher prices (see graph) and the quantity staysabout the same as the article states (therefore I shifted the curvesthe same amount).

Other articles that you can analyze yourself:

Supply, Demand, and EconomicEfficiency

All over the world countries are undertaking structural adjustmentprograms which remove price controls set by governments and allow themarket (supply and demand) to set prices. WHY? Why are countriesletting the market set prices rather than the government? Please notthat this is still not universal, but it definitely is the trend. Thereason is to better reduce scarcity.

A purely competitive market economy is an efficient economy, bothallocatively and productively, but there is no mechanism to make themachieve equity or full employment. (5Es).

EQUITY - There is nothing built into capitalism or a marketeconomy to guarantee that equity is achieved. Remember, economistscannot tell us when we have achieved equity. The distribution ofincome that maximizes society's satisfaction cannot be calculatedtherefore it is an issue left to the government. Economists canexplain that equity is good for society (like we did in the 5Eslecture), but they cannot tell us when we have achieved equity.

PRODUCTIVE EFFICIENCY - Competition, or capitalism, throughfreedom of entry and exit ensures that production occurs at thelowest possible average cost and that there is no waste inproduction. Competition ensures production occurs at a minimum costor other businesses will be able to produce and sell the product forcheaper. Inefficient businesses will be beat by their productivelyefficient competitors. There a capitalist economy, as long as thereis competition, will achieve productive efficiency.

ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY -

Allocative efficiency is producing the right amount of the variousgoods and services so that society's satisfaction is maximized. Willbusiness produce the quantity that society wants? The goal ofbusinesses is to maximize their profits. Businesses will produce theprofit maximizing quantity. This is the equilibrium quantity whereQd=Qs . This is WHATWEGET in a market economy. Businessesdo NOT try to be efficient, they try to maximize their profits. If abusiness could make more money by being inefficient they would beinefficient. Business try to produce the profit maximizing quantity,whether it is allocatively efficient or not.

Demand and Supply (245)

But society wants the allocatively efficient quantity.

We can use Benefit-Cost Analysis that we studied in chapter 1 todraw a graph which show the allocatively efficient quantity, or thequantity that would maximize society's satisfaction. Remember,allocative efficiency means we are using our limited resources toproduce the quantity of goods and services that maximizes society'ssatisfaction. For example, using resources to produce more MP3players that people want and fewer CD players that they don'twant.

Benefit Cost Analysis is the selection of ALL possiblealternatives where the marginal benefits are greater than themarginal cost

select all where: MB > MC
up to where: MB = MC
but never where: MB < MC

We have made the best decision when we stop at the alternativewhere MB=MC. (Review page 13 of the textbook, see REVIEW,and use the Discussion Board if you still do not understand thisimportant concept.)

The allocatively efficient quantity of a good, where society isreceiving the maximum satisfaction, is the quantity where themarginal social benefits (MSB) equal the marginal social costs(MSC).

MSB=MSC.
Marginal Social Benefits (MSB) are the additional benefits that society (or the consumer who is a part of society) receives when one more unit of a good or service is consumed.

MARGINAL SOCIAL COASTS are the additional costs to society (or to the producer who is a part of society) when one more unit of a good or service is produced.

We will find out that if there are no negative externalities(spillover costs) then: S = MSC, and if there are no positiveexternalities (spillover benefits) the D = MSB,(We will study"externalities" in chapter 4)

THEREFORE: if D=MSB and if S=MSC, when businesses produce theprofit maximizing quantity (where Qd=Qs) they will also be producingthe allocatively efficient quantity (where MSB=MSC). Capitalismachieves allocative efficiency! This is why countries are abandoningprice controls allowing profit maximizing businesses to set their ownprices. As long as there is competition, as businesses try tomaximize their profits they will also achieve allocative efficiencyand there will be no shortages and no surpluses.

DOES D=MSB?

Your demand curve for any good is based on the marginal benefits(utility) that you would receive from consuming various possibleamounts of the good, as we discussed when we explained the law ofdemand. Our assumptions imply that the marginal utility you receivefrom consuming is also the marginal benefit that society receives.That is, your gain is also society’s gain because you are amember of society. When we sum all consumer demands, we derive themarket demand curve for an industry’s product, which is also themarginal social benefit (MSB) to all of society from having one moreunit of the good. Therefore D = MSB.

DOES S=MSC

Does the supply curve for a product which shows the variousquantity that the business is willing to produce measure the extracosts to society? There are two ways we can approach this. First,since the supply curve represents the cost of resources to the firm.It costs them more as they produce more so they need a higher priceto comer these higher costs - this explains the law of supply. Butwhen a firm uses more resources to produce more this is also a costto society because society loses the use of that resource. Remember,all costs in economics are opportunity costs. So as more of a productis produced the marginal (extra) cost to society for one more unitincreases.

The other way to look at this is to discuss what COULD HAVE BEENPRODUCED. If a business produces more of a product, using moreresources, then less of something else is produced, i.e. there is anopportunity cost. If we apply the law of diminishing marginal utilitythen as a business produces more of one product then society willhave to receive less of other products. What happens to the marginalutility received from the last unit if LESS is consumed? If less isconsumed then the marginal utility is higher. SO, as businessesproduce more of product A then they produce less of product B. Asthey produce less of product B than the marginal utility received bysociety from product B increases. THEREFORE, as business produce moreof product A the the cost to society of product A increases becauseas businesses product more of product A they must produce less ofproduct B.

SUMMARY: When a purely competitive industry is in a long-runequilibrium, quantity supplied equals quantity demanded (this is theprofit maximizing quantity) AND therefore marginal social cost equalsmarginal social benefit (MSC = MSB), this is the allocativelyefficient quantity. The industry is producing where the marginalsocial benefit from the last unit produced is just equal to themarginal social cost of the resources needed to produce that unit ofproduct. This concept is illustrated in the figure below.

Demand and Supply (246)

The MSB = MSC condition is optimal from society’s point ofview. This is the quantity where society'ssatisfaction will be maximized or the allocatively efficient quantityand scarcity is being reduced as much as possible.

Consider an output level slightly less than the efficient quantityshown above. The social benefit (MSB) from one more unit is greaterthan the cost of the resources required to produce a little more ofthe good (MSB>MSC). So society as a whole could gain if moreresources were used to produce more of this good. And in acompetitive industry, they will be. If this small quantity wereinitially produced and sold, existing firms in a competitive industrywould enjoy economic profit. This would cause the industry to growuntil the allocatively efficient quantity is reached. The adjustmentprocess is just reversed if industry output exceeds the efficientlevel of output.

WHY ARE MARKETS EFFICIENT?

Businesses will produce the profit maximizing quantity. This isthe equilibrium quantity where Qd=Qs (see graph below on the right).This is WHAT WE GET.

Society wants the allocatively efficient quantity. This is thequantity where MSB=MSC (see graph above on the left). This is WHAT WEWANT.

Demand and Supply (247)

Demand and Supply (248)

If there are no negative externalities (spillover costs) the S =MSC, and if there are no positive externalities (spillover benefits)the D = MSB, THEREFORE: WHAT WE GET = WHAT WE WANT andself-interested, profit maximizing, businesses will end up doing whatis best for society - achieving allocative efficiency - as if thereis some "invisible hand " guiding their decisions.

Demand and Supply (249)

SUMMARY:

  • Businesses will produce the profit maximizing or market equilibrium quantity - the quantity where Qd=Qs; (WHATWEGET)
  • Society wants the allocatively efficient quantity - the quantity where MSB=MSC ; (WHATWEWANT)
  • WHAT WE GET = WHAT WE WANT if:
    • Market Demand = Marginal Social Benefits (D=MSB)
      (and this is true if there are no positive externalities (spillover benefits))
    • Market Supply = Marginal Social Costs (S=MSC)
      (and this is true if there are no negative externalities (spillover costs))
    • THEREFORE if there are no negative externalities (spillover costs) and no positive externalities (spillover benefits) competitive markets (capitalism) achieves allocative efficiency

      WHAT WE GET = WHAT WE WANT

      This is the "invisible hand" of capitalism.

    In a market economy with no positive externalities (spillover benefits) and no negative externalities (spillover costs):

    the profit maximizing or market equilibrium quantity
    (what we get)

    WILL BE THE SAME AS

    the allocative efficient quantity
    (what we want)

Modified from Microeconomics by Ralph T. Burns and GeraldM. Stone, Harper Collins, New York 1993, pp. 210-212

Is ticket scalping good or bad? (From the Textbook p. 55):

Consider This … Ticket Scalping: A Bum Rap!

1. "Scalping" refers to the practice of reselling tickets at a higher-than-original price, which happens often with athletic and artistic events. Is this "ripping off" justified?

2. Ticket re-sales are voluntary-both buyer and seller must feel that they gain or they would not agree to the transaction.

3. "Scalping" market simply redistributes assets (tickets) from those who value them less than money to those who value them more than the money they're willing to pay.

4. Sponsors may be injured, but if that is the case, they should have priced the tickets higher.

5. Spectators are not damaged, according to economic theory, because those who want to go the most are getting the tickets.

6. Conclusion: Both seller and buyer benefit and event sponsors are the only ones who may lose, but that is due to their own error in pricing and they would have lost from this error whether or not the scalping took place.

Efficient allocation - productive and allocativeefficiency

1. Competitive markets generate productive efficiency - the production of any particular good in the least costly way. Sellers that don't achieve the least-cost combination of inputs will be unprofitable and have difficulty competing in the market.

2. The competitive process also generates allocative efficiency - producing the combination of goods and services most valued by society.

3. Allocative efficiency requires that there be productive efficiency. Productive efficiency can occur without allocative efficiency. Goods can be produced in the least costly method without being the most wanted by society.

4. Allocative and productive efficiency occur at the equilibrium price and quantity in a competitive market. Resources are neither over- nor underallocated based on society's wants.

ANSWERS

Market Supply: correct answer "B" [RETURN]

Demand and Supply (2024)
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