Amy Legate-Wolfe
·4 min read
If Americans feel the need more than ever to stretch their dollars, it’s not hard to figure out why.
The latest inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed there was an 7.7% increase in prices year over year.
That not-so-great news is compounded by the fact that by comparison, the average American isn’t making enough to keep up. Although the inflation rate has eased a bit from 8.2% in September, The BLS also found that the average hourly earnings have decreased 2.8% compared to last year.
While the average income continues to increase yearly, buying power has dropped and salaries haven’t seemed to keep up. And as they’re forced to pinch their pennies, the 52% of American households that make up the middle class may be wondering if they’ll get relief anytime soon.
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How much are middle-income Americans making?
As of 2021, the American middle class remained stable at 50%, according to a Pew Research Center study released in April.That’s largely unchanged from 2011 figures.
But how do the percentages translate to earnings and earning power? Pew statistics show that for middle-class Americans, average incomes jumped 6% from $74,000 in 2010 to about $78,500 in 2016.
Today, that figure sits at about $90,000 — which seems like a big leap until you account for how much buying power a dollar has today versus a dozen years ago. To have the same effective income as $74,000 in 2010, you’d need to make roughly $101,000 in 2022, based on this CPI inflation calculator.
From a ‘lost decade’ to a growing gap
Arguably, no factor impacted the shifting ranks of the American middle class more than the Great Recession. Pew figures show that the recession’s “lingering effects” left median incomes largely unchanged from 2000 to 2016. For this reason, the 2000s are sometimes referred to as “the lost decade.”
Meanwhile, the fortunes of the middle class have paled in comparison to those in higher earnings brackets. In 1970, Pew Research found those in the upper class made more than twice what middle-income Americans made, and more than six times those in lower income households. As of 2016, the gap had widened even further.
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Even among the middle class, disparities exist.
As of 2022, Pew identified a middle-income household as anywhere between $30,000 (for a single adult) to $67,000 (for a household of five). And depending on where you live, the same middle class income may mean living in relative comfort or enduring a tight squeeze.
Could COVID keep middle America down?
A 2021 Pew study found that the pandemic not only stalled economic growth: It also froze the numbers in America’s middle class. In fact, this happened around the world, pushing many middle class families into poverty.
It’s fair to ask, then, whether the ranks and average income of the American middle class will shrink — especially when continued inflation and a possible recession enter the picture.
Those with crystal balls will want to take their best guesses — though, if you fall on the wrong side of the middle-class equation in the months ahead, crystal may become a luxury you can no longer afford.
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This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.
I'm well-versed in economics, particularly in the context of inflation, income trends, and their impact on the American middle class. The article you provided touches on several crucial economic concepts, and I'll elaborate on each:
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Inflation: The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a 7.7% increase in prices year over year. Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money, making it crucial to understand how prices of goods and services change over time.
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Income and Earnings: Despite an increase in the average income yearly, the buying power has declined. Average hourly earnings have decreased by 2.8% compared to the previous year, reflecting a struggle for many to maintain their standard of living.
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Middle-Class Income: The Pew Research Center's study reveals that the American middle class remained stable at 50%, with average incomes rising from $74,000 in 2010 to approximately $90,000 in 2022. However, when adjusted for inflation using a CPI calculator, the effective income required to match the purchasing power of $74,000 in 2010 would be approximately $101,000 in 2022.
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Impact of Economic Events: The Great Recession had a substantial impact on median incomes, resulting in stagnant growth for nearly a decade (2000-2016). This stagnant growth led to a widened gap between different income brackets, particularly affecting the middle class compared to higher-income earners.
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Income Disparities Within the Middle Class: There are disparities within the middle class based on household size and location. A middle-income household is defined as earning between $30,000 (for a single adult) to $67,000 (for a household of five). Geographical differences can significantly impact the standard of living for the same income bracket.
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COVID-19 Pandemic Effects: The pandemic froze economic growth and impacted the middle class globally, potentially pushing many families into poverty. It's uncertain how continued inflation, recessionary possibilities, and ongoing effects of the pandemic might further shrink the American middle class and affect their income.
The article raises concerns about the future of the American middle class, emphasizing the impact of economic events, income disparities, and the uncertainty surrounding inflation and possible recessions. It also touches on practical advice to navigate financial challenges, such as saving on expenses like home insurance and debt management.
Understanding these economic concepts and their interplay is crucial for individuals and policymakers to address challenges faced by the middle class and navigate economic uncertainties effectively.
