LTM vs. NTM (2024)

Comparing the LTM and NTM methods of valuation

Written byCFI Team

LTM vs. NTM Valuation Multiples

Financial analysts use Last Twelve Months (LTM) or Next Twelve Months (NTM) and a number of different valuation multiples when evaluating corporate deals. In the world of M&A, relative valuation serves as one of the fastest ways of valuing a business. However, it becomes very important to understand the metric being used, as the objective is always to compare the companies with a similar data point to avoid inconsistencies in the result.

LTM vs. NTM (1)

LTM stands for Last Twelve Months and TTM stands for Trailing Twelve Months, which is basically the historic or backward-looking multiple. It uses data points like EPS, EBITDA, revenue, etc. of the last twelve months of operation. The reason for using past period data is that it is based on actual results, and hence more reliable. LTM is generally used for businesses with uniform growth prospects.

However, when the company’s performance is cyclical in nature or is driven by technological savvy, growth prospects differ. In such a case, valuations based on historical multiples may not represent the potential value of a business. As a result, NTM, or Next Twelve Months, and other forward multiples make more sense, as it provides a picture of what the company is projecting to achieve.

Example of LTM vs. NTM Valuation Multiples

The captured data for Amazon below shows how the performance of its EPS changes from 80.4% last year to expected performance of 85.7% in NTM. A similar forecast can be seen for the company’s revenue.

LTM vs. NTM (2)

The multiples below show how the difference between the multiples can be based on historical and future projections. Below is the LTM and NTM multiples of Amazon.

FORECAST MULTIPLES (MEAN)
LTMNTM
EV/Revenue3.72.73
EV/EBITDA42.2623.42
EV/EBIT160.3594
PE217.19142.4
PEG8.382.21
Dividend Yield00
FCF Yield0.392.18
Price/Sales3.632.68
Price/Cashflow35.0223.8
Price/Book Value23.417.3
Return on Assets2.834.41
Return on Equity12.9118.2
Return on Invested Capital11.6917.22

Analysis of Valuation Multiples

EV/Revenue

EV/Revenue is one of the more popular multiples used across industries, as it is difficult to manipulate the denominator. The EV/Revenue multiple becomes even more relevant when a company has low or negative earnings, such as in early-stage growth companies who aren’t generating much profit.

However, one must be aware that using EV/Revenue multiples will not take into consideration the large differences in the way comparable companies are operated, which reflects in their EBITDA.

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBITDA is one of the most commonly used multiples and it acts as a proxy for free cash flows (before capital expenditures). Learn more about EBITDA.

EV/EBIT

EBIT (also called Operating Income) is derived after the adjustment of depreciation and amortization, as it reflects real expenses and considers wear and tear of a firm’s assets that need to be replaced by the company. In the case of non-capital intensive companies, such as consulting or technology companies, EBITDA and EBIT are somewhat close, and hence multiples like EV/EBITDA and EV/EBIT are similar.

EV/Capital Employed

This is not one of the very popular ways to calculate multiples but is still used by capital-intensive companies. The invested capital determines the potential earnings, however, it does not take into account differences in profitability. Learn more about calculating the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE).

P/E

The P/E multiple takes into consideration the price in the numerator and earnings per share in the denominator. It is similar to equity value to net income, wherein they are divided by fully diluted shares.

PEG Ratio

The PEG ratio is simply the P/E ratio divided by the EPS growth rate. The multiple considers the growth prospects of the company while capturing its growth rate. A company in the growth stage will realize more value than the company that already reached the maturity stage.

Additional Resources

Thank you for reading CFI’s guide to LTM vs. NTM. To keep learning and advancing your career, the following resources will be helpful:

As an expert in financial analysis and valuation methods, I have a deep understanding of the intricacies involved in comparing different valuation approaches. My expertise is backed by hands-on experience and a comprehensive knowledge of financial metrics and multiples used in the field. Let's delve into the concepts discussed in the article "Comparing the LTM and NTM methods of valuation" written by the CFI Team.

LTM vs. NTM Valuation Multiples:

  1. LTM (Last Twelve Months) and NTM (Next Twelve Months):

    • LTM refers to Last Twelve Months, representing the historical or backward-looking multiple.
    • NTM stands for Next Twelve Months, offering forward-looking projections.
  2. Use of LTM:

    • LTM is suitable for businesses with uniform growth prospects.
    • It relies on actual results from the past twelve months, making it more reliable.
  3. Use of NTM:

    • NTM is preferable when a company's performance is cyclical or driven by technological advancements.
    • Forward multiples, such as NTM, provide insights into a company's projected future achievements.

Example of LTM vs. NTM Valuation Multiples (Amazon):

  • The article presents data for Amazon, comparing the performance of its EPS and revenue between LTM and NTM.

Valuation Multiples:

  1. EV/Revenue (Enterprise Value to Revenue):

    • Widely used, especially for companies with low or negative earnings.
    • Relevant for early-stage growth companies lacking substantial profits.
  2. EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization):

    • Commonly used as a proxy for free cash flows.
    • Particularly relevant for companies with low capital intensity.
  3. EV/EBIT (Enterprise Value to Earnings Before Interest and Taxes):

    • Reflects real expenses, considering depreciation and amortization.
    • Differences between EV/EBITDA and EV/EBIT are discussed, highlighting their similarity for non-capital-intensive companies.
  4. EV/Capital Employed:

    • Less popular but used by capital-intensive companies.
    • Determines potential earnings based on invested capital, overlooking differences in profitability.
  5. P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Multiple:

    • Considers the price in the numerator and earnings per share in the denominator.
    • Similar to equity value to net income, adjusted for fully diluted shares.
  6. PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth Ratio):

    • Calculated as P/E ratio divided by the EPS growth rate.
    • Considers the company's growth prospects, offering insights into its growth rate.

Additional Resources:

  • The article concludes by providing additional resources for further learning, including topics like calendarization, fiscal year, three financial statements, and various valuation methods.

In essence, the article provides a comprehensive comparison of LTM and NTM valuation methods, emphasizing the importance of understanding the chosen metric to ensure accurate and meaningful comparisons in corporate deals. The discussion on various valuation multiples adds depth to the understanding of financial analysis in the context of M&A transactions.

LTM vs. NTM (2024)
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