Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities (2024)

The Indian stock market rally since March 2023 lows has been driven more by P/E expansion rather than trailing earnings growth, indicating high earnings growth expectations ahead, analysts said.

The Nifty 50 index expanded 31% from the lows of March 2023, as against a trailing earnings expansion of around 18% during the same time, thereby resulting in valuations expanding from a reasonable 17.5x to an elevated 20x on a forward earnings basis, analysts at ICICI Securities said.

The rally in the broader market was even higher compared to their earnings expansion with midcaps, smallcaps and microcap stocks giving returns of 62%, 73% and 100%, respectively, since March 2023 lows.

Also Read: IT sector outlook: Worst may not be over; Nirmal Bang sees earnings downside risk for FY25-26

Meanwhile, analysts believe the positive surprise in India’s GDP growth for the December quarter at 8.4% sets the stage for an earnings upgrade.

“Driven by the ‘investment rate’, real GDP growth for Q3FY24 was much higher (8.4% YoY) than consensus estimates, thereby resulting in consensus upward revision to FY24 GDP. This could potentially lead to upward earnings revisions – such expectations have begun egging stock prices on, which are already stretched in terms of valuations, thereby thinning the ‘margin of safety’," ICICI Securities’ analysts Vinod Karki and Niraj Karnani said in a report.

They believe upward growth revision is likely to continue to emanate from cyclical and capital intensive space, as it has been for the past one year, thereby resulting in their outperformance.

Also Read: Stock market today: How to tweak your portfolio before Lok Sabha election 2024

Our one-year forward (March 2025) target for Nifty 50 stands at 24,800 and implies a 10% upside against the long-term expected returns of ~14%, analysts said.

Over the past one year, for the largecap space, the FY24/FY25 aggregate earnings forecasts have been revised upwards for the cyclical and capital-intensive sectors while the aggregate earnings of the defensive sector have been downgraded, they noted.

ICICI Securities’ top picks from its coverage universe include Larsen & Toubro (L&T), BHEL, Jindal Steel & Power, Jindal Stainless, Astra Microwave, ONGC, HPCL, GAIL India, Ambuja Cements, Grasim Industries, Archean Chemical, Greenpanel Industries, Delhivery, Cipla, M&M, Balkrishna Industries, Zomato, IndusInd Bank and SBI Life Insurance.

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Published: 12 Mar 2024, 10:52 AM IST

Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities (2024)

FAQs

Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities? ›

According to experts, our one-year forward objective for the Nifty 50, which is set for March 2025, is 24,800. This represents a 10% upside against the long-term predicted returns of around 14%.

What is the Nifty forecast for 2025? ›

Nifty is projected to continue its upward trajectory, surpassing 26,500 by December 2025, according to brokerage firm Emkay Investment Managers.

Can Nifty reach $23,000? ›

Nifty 50 hit the milestone of 23,000 for the first time on Friday, May 24. The index is now up about 25 per cent from its 52-week low of 18,333.15, which it hit on May 26 last year.

What is the target price of ICICI Bank in 2025? ›

ICICI Bank Share Price Target 2025
YearICICI Bank Share Price Target 2025
1st Price Target1,910
2nd Price Target2,560

What is the target of Nifty 50 in 2024? ›

Base Case Scenario: Assuming the Nifty continues to trade at the 15-year average PE of 19x, and considering the estimated EPS of 1358 for March 2026, the brokerage predicts the Nifty could reach 25,810 by December 2024. (An earlier estimate based on a slightly different EPS resulted in a target of 25,363).

What is the target of Nifty 50 in 2030? ›

Raamdeo Agrawal: Nifty is hovering around 22,000 levels. If you get 15% compounded on a five-year basis, you're talking about 44,000-45,000 in the next five years. Nifty should kiss the 50,000 mark by 2030-2031.

What is the return of Nifty 50 in 15 years? ›

Nifty 50 CAGR 15 Years
YearNifty 50 TRI CAGR 15 Years
2006-202111.60%
2007-202211.97%
2008-202310.36%
2009-202415.63%
6 more rows
Apr 7, 2024

What is nifty 50 all time high level? ›

Nifty 50 opened at 22,455, up 128 points against the previous close of 22,326.90 and rose about 2023 points to hit its fresh record high of 22,529.95 during the session.

How much margin money is required to buy 1 lot of Nifty futures? ›

The required span margin for Nifty futures on the NSE is 10% of the contract value.

What is the forecast for Nifty? ›

CLSA analysts recommended taking profits around 23,745 to 23,750 points in the Nifty, in anticipation of a similar consolidation taking place after the 2024 results. They forecast the next resistance levels for the Nifty would be around 23,100, 23,745-23,750, and 24,000 points.

What is the target price of ICICI Bank in 2026? ›

ICICI Bank Share Price Target 2026: The target ranges from ₹1,855 (minimum) to ₹2,051 (maximum), with an average of ₹1,953.

What is the price target for RVNL in 2025? ›

RVNL's share price is expected to reach ₹666.21 by the end of 2025.

Is Icici good to buy? ›

Brokerages said ICICI Bank remains the preferred pick in the banking space, given its superior returns profile, top-management credibility, and strong capital/provision buffers. Want In-Depth Report & Analysis on ICICI Bank to make smarter buy/sell decisions? MCap (₹ Cr.)

What is the Nifty 50 forecast for 2025? ›

Given this backdrop, he believes India's high valuation is sustainable and expects the Nifty 50 index to reach 25,200 by March 2025, implying an upside of 12%. The Nifty target is based on March 2026 EPS estimates of ₹1,226 and a 12-month forward target PE multiple of 20.6x.

Will Nifty reach $23,000? ›

The near-term outlook remains positive, with the index staying above the crucial moving averages. Support lies at 22,900, below which the index might slip towards 22,800. On the higher end, bears are active around 23,000-23,050. A decisive move above 23,050 might trigger a stronger rally towards higher levels.

What is the return of Nifty 50 over 5 years? ›

Nifty 50 Total Return index Performance

The Nifty 50 TR index has returned 11.8% CAGR, 17.6% CAGR and 28.4% CAGR over the last 15 years, 5 years and 1 year respectively. Volatility has been 22% over the last 15 years, 18.2% over the last 5 years and 15.8% over the last 1 year. All data are as of December 15, 2021.

What is the price prediction for Nifty in 2027? ›

Harshubh Mahesh Shah predicts 30,000+ Nifty by 2027, advocates quality stock accumulation and 70% equity, 30% bonds allocation. Discusses astrology, Moon cycles, and financial astrology course. Shares insights on market trends and volatility.

Can Nifty hit $25,000? ›

We see nifty to trade higher towards 22,000 in the medium term and head more towards 24,000 - 25,000 on or before December 2024. Meanwhile, we may continue to see a lot of volatility on the global front which would keep Indian markets in place to use all dips to accumulate India's growth story.

What is future prediction of Nifty 50? ›

Technical View: Traders remain cautious ahead of exit polls, 22,800-23,000 looks likely for Nifty if 20-day SMA holds. The options data indicate that on the higher side, the Nifty 50 may face resistance at 23,000, while on the lower side, 22,000 is the key support to watch.

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