Revenue Variance Analysis (2024)

Measuring differences between actual sales and expected sales

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Written byCFI Team

Revenue Variance Analysis is used to measure differences between actual sales and expected sales, based on sales volume metrics, sales mix metrics, and contribution margin calculations.

Information obtained from Revenue Variance Analysis is important to organizations because it enables management to determine actual sales performance in relation to the projected or perceived performance of the company for specific products. It helps businesses identify which products are performing better in the market. Overall, variance analysis helps management make better strategic and business-level decisions to maximize profitability.

Learn to perform revenue variance analysis in our online forecasting course.

Four Types of Revenue Variance

Similar to variance analysis, we can use the same column-based approach to calculate the four different types of revenue variance.

Revenue Variance Analysis (1)

And finally, Sales Volume Variance (SVV) = Sales Mix Variance + Sales Quantity Variance.

These variances are summarized in the following table:

Flexible Budget Variance (FBV)Sales Mix Variance (SMV)Sales Quantity Variance (SQV)
Difference between the actual contribution margin and the standard contribution with sales mix and sales volume held constantDifference between the actual product mix and the standard product mix with sales volume and contribution margin held constant Difference between the actual volume of sales and the standard (estimated) volume of sales with sales mix and contribution margin held constant

Example

Data from XYZ Company with equal Actual CM and Budgeted CM.

Standard TicketLuxury Ticket
Contribution Margin $20$5
Budgeted tickets sold 4,000 6,000
Actual seats sold 3,300 7,700

To determine the relevant variances, we use the column method shown above.

First, organize a table that outlines all relevant information regarding the two products.

BudgetActual
VolumeSales Mix (%)CMVolumeSales Mix (%)CM
Standard4,00040%$203,30030%$20
Luxury6,00060%$57,70070%$5
Total10,000100%11,000100%

Standard Ticket:

Revenue Variance Analysis (2)

SVV = 22,000 U + 8,000 F = 14,000 U

Luxury Ticket:

Revenue Variance Analysis (3)

SVV = 5,500 F + 3,000 F = 8,500 F

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Analysis

From the above example, management can draw several conclusions:

  • For the standard ticket, the actual sales mix is lower than originally budgeted, leading to an unfavorable sales mix variance.
  • For the standard ticket, the actual sales volume is higher than originally estimated, leading to a favorable sales quantity variance.
  • The sales volume variance, therefore, is unfavorable overall because the sales mix variance is significant.
  • For the luxury ticket, the actual sales mix is higher than originally budgeted, leading to a favorable sales mix variance.
  • For the luxury ticket, the actual sales volume is higher than estimated, leading to a favorable sales quantity variance
  • The sales volume variance, therefore, is favorable overall and the luxury ticket proves to be performing better in terms of sales even though the contribution margin is lower.
  • For both tickets, the flexible budget variance is 0 because the actual and budgeted CM are the same.

Market Share and Market Size Variances

Just like the variance analysis shown above, companies can also take their analysis one step further to determine market share and market size variances. Market share variance is the difference between actual market share and the estimated/standard market share at the same volume of sales.

On the other hand, market size variance is the difference between actual industry sales and estimated industry sales at a constant market share percentage. When the market share and market size variances are added together, they will be equal to the total sales quantity variance of all products sold by the company.

Learn to perform revenue variance analysis in our online budgeting course.

Importance of Variance Analysis

Variance analysis, as a whole, is imperative for companies because it gives management information that may not necessarily be obvious. By actually examining all individual costs, sales information, and contribution margin figures, companies can better measure the effectiveness of production methods and the performance of specific products relative to others.

For example, even though a certain product may provide a larger contribution margin, leading to higher profitability, it may actually be performing worse than a lower contribution product. Although, in the short run, the higher CM product may be more appealing, companies should consider which products to focus their efforts on if they intend to maintain longevity in today’s highly competitive market.

Additional Resources

Thank you for reading CFI’s guide to Revenue Variance Analysis. To help you advance your career, check out the additional CFI resources below:

  • Sales Revenue
  • Analysis of Financial Statements
  • Revenue Recognition Principle
  • Revenue Variance Analysis Template
  • See all accounting resources
Revenue Variance Analysis (2024)

FAQs

How do you analyze revenue variance? ›

The main variance analysis formulas used in accounting are:
  1. Revenue Variance = Actual Revenue - Budgeted Revenue.
  2. Expense Variance = Budgeted Expense - Actual Expense.
Jan 8, 2024

What is a favorable revenue variance? ›

Favorable variances are defined as either generating more revenue than expected or incurring fewer costs than expected. Unfavorable variances are the opposite. Less revenue is generated or more costs incurred. Either may be good or bad, as these variances are based on a budgeted amount.

How do you write a good variance analysis report? ›

How to make a variance report
  1. Gather your data. First, collect all the necessary financial data. ...
  2. Set up your template. Create a template with columns for budgeted figures, actual figures, and variance. ...
  3. Input the figures. ...
  4. Calculate the variances. ...
  5. Analyze the results. ...
  6. Write explanatory notes.
Dec 15, 2023

How to know if it is favorable or unfavorable? ›

What does favorable and unfavorable mean in accounting? In the field of accounting, variance simply refers to the difference between budgeted and actual figures. Higher revenues and lower expenses are referred to as favorable variances. Lower revenues and higher expenses are referred to as unfavorable variances.

How do you interpret variance in data analysis? ›

Interpretation. The greater the variance, the greater the spread in the data. Because variance (σ 2) is a squared quantity, its units are also squared, which may make the variance difficult to use in practice. The standard deviation is usually easier to interpret because it's in the same units as the data.

What is a reasonable variance? ›

In accounting, a budget variance of 10% or less is usually considered tolerable.

What is the effect of an unfavorable revenue variance? ›

An unfavorable variance can alert management that the company's profit will be less than expected. The unfavorable variance could be the result of lower revenue, higher expenses, or a combination of both.

How do you know if a variance is favorable or adverse? ›

An adverse variance is where actual income is less than budget, or actual expenditure is more than budget. This is the same as a deficit where expenditure exceeds the available income. A favourable variance is where actual income is more than budget, or actual expenditure is less than budget.

What is an analysis of positive or negative variance of revenue? ›

Variance analysis measures the difference between the forecasted cash position and the actual cash position. A positive variance occurs when actual cash flow surpasses the forecasted amount, while a negative variance indicates the opposite.

How to analyze sales variance? ›

To calculate sales volume variance, subtract your predicted sales in your sales forecast from your actual sales for a reporting period. This'll leave you with either a positive number (which puts you above forecast) or a negative number (which puts you below forecast).

What does variance mean in revenue? ›

Revenue variances refer to the differences between the actual revenue earned by a business during a particular period and the forecasted or budgeted revenue for that same period.

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