Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (2024)

As a commercial real estate advisor who often consults with small business owners, I’m regularly asked – what’s my company worth? It’s a fair question for entrepreneurs considering their future exit plans. Getting a business valuation can help set realistic expectations when the time comes to hang up the “for sale” sign.

While tempting to use aback-of-the-napkin rule of thumb, business owners should understand the limitations of this approach before making major decisions based on an overly simple valuation metric.

In this article, we’ll break down a few commonrules of thumb for business valuation, when they may be useful, and why it pays to invest in a professional appraisal.

Key Takeaways

  • Rules of thumbcan provide a roughballpark valuation rangefor small businesses but have limitations in accuracy.
  • Common rules of thumb focus on multiples ofrevenue, earnings (EBITDA), ordiscretionary earnings.
  • More rigorous valuation methods used by professionals evaluate assets, growth potential, competition, and other value factors.

Common Rules of Thumb for Business Valuation

Before relying on any rule of thumb, remember – no two businesses are alike. Value depends on profit margins, growth, assets, liabilities, and market conditions. Rules of thumb short-circuit the analysis of these key value drivers.

With that huge caveat, let’s look at some popularshortcuts business brokers and owners use to ballpark value:

The EBITDA Multiple Rule

A common rule of thumb is assigning a business value based on a multiple of its annualEBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). The specific multiple used often ranges from 2 to 6 times EBITDA depending on the size, industry, profit margins, and growth prospects.

For example, a retail store doing $100,000 in annual EBITDA could be valued roughly at $200,000 to $600,000 based on a 2X – 6X EBITDA rule of thumb.

The Discretionary Earnings Approach

Another shorthand for valuation looks at the owner’s discretionary earnings – their salary plus any additional profits they take home. This is multiplied by a factor ranging from 1 to 4.

If the owner pays themself a $150,000 salary, and the business clears another $100,000 in profit annually, their discretionary earnings are $250,000. Applying a conservative 2X multiple gives us an estimated business value of $500,000.

The Revenue Multiple Method

This rule attaches a value to several types of businesses based on their annual revenue or sales. The revenue multiple used often falls between 0.5 to 5 times yearly revenue depending on the industry.

For a company doing $2 million in gross annual sales, that could equate to a business valuation between $1 million (0.5X multiplier) up to $10 million (5X yearly sales).

The Problem With the Rules of Thumb Valuation Approach

Hopefully, the wide ranges in the examples above make it clear – rules of thumb leave much to be desired when it comes to nailing down business value. Relying solely on a shorthand revenue or EBITDA multiple can result in overpaying or leaving money on the table.

Here are a few reasons why rules of thumb fail to accurately capture value:

  • Industry variation– Valuation multiples differ greatly based on sector, growth, and margins.

Increased focus on EBITDA by companies and investors has prompted criticism that it overstates profitability. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires listed companies reporting EBITDA figures to show how they were derived from net income, and it bars them from reporting EBITDA on a per-share basis

  • Ignores wealth of factors– Assets, liabilities, barriers to entry, and sustainability of income all matter.
  • Can misguide negotiations– Emotions aside, smart negotiators argue based on supportable facts and figures.
  • Not suitable for financing– Banks scoff at informal rules of thumb. They require substantiated valuations.

So when does it make sense to have a starting number based on a shortcut valuation method?

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (1)

Appropriate Uses for Rule of Thumb Business Valuations

Having highlighted their flaws, I don’t want to completely discredit the merits of valuationrules of thumb.

Here are some appropriate uses:

Very Early Planning Stages

When initially assessing selling scenarios or weighing succession planning options 5+ years out, rules of thumb can gauge feasibility. If an owner expects a $20 million valuation based on industry rumors, running some quick calculations using EBITDA or discretionary earnings may encourage more reasonable expectations.

Reality Check on Expectations

Every small business owner thinks their company is “special” when contemplating its value. Applying a rule of thumb multiples to earnings strips away emotive elements and introduces an impartial perspective. If the valuation exceeds expectations, terrific. If not, better to realign assumptions now than when you’ve already listed your business.

Listing Price Range for Business Brokers

When helping a business owner sell companies below $500k in value, some business brokers do anchor asking prices based on discretionary earnings multiples. But it’s still marketed as an estimated range subject to the buyers’ formal due diligence.

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (2)

Final Takeaways on Business Valuation

  • Don’t rely solely on the multiplicative valuation rule of thumb– consult real valuation pros!
  • Factor profit history, stability, assets & liabilities, growth runway.
  • Get appraisals annually to track the value of the business. Make changes to drive higher valuations!

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a good rule of thumb for valuing my manufacturing business?

For small to midsize manufacturing firms, 2-4X EBITDA or 20-40% of annual revenue are often used by business brokers to estimate value. However, the most prudent approach is hiring an accredited appraiser.

How much does a formal valuation report cost?

Expect to invest around $3,000-$5,000 for a thorough independent valuation. Worth it for the detailed analysis and credibility with potential buyers.

Is a rule-of-thumb valuation enough to get bank financing?

Lenders usually require substantiated valuations from a qualified professional appraiser to secure financing against a business.

What affects business value beyond earnings?

Sustainability of income, growth potential, assets like real estate and receivables, owner involvement, and local market competition all impact value.

Should I use a rule of thumb valuation when listing my business for sale?

Relying solely on a rule of thumb asking price leaves you anchoring negotiations with no factual support. Price within range of recent industry sales and justify based on performance metrics.

Conclusion

I know valuing your business seems complicated and overwhelming. As an entrepreneur, you poured your heart and soul into building this company. It’s so much more than just a line item on a spreadsheet. My role is to appreciate that personal connection while still providing an accurate,logic-based assessment to position you for future success, whether expanding operations or planning an exit. I’d be honored to have a thoughtful consultation focused on what matters most – your vision.

My goal isn’t quick rules of thumb but rather an understanding of your goals so I can offer custom strategic advice. Let’s have an open, judgment-free dialogue on how we can best serve your business needs moving forward.

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (2024)

FAQs

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial? ›

A common rule of thumb is assigning a business value based on a multiple of its annual EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). The specific multiple used often ranges from 2 to 6 times EBITDA depending on the size, industry, profit margins, and growth prospects.

What is the rule of thumb approach to valuation? ›

The rule of thumb is often developed over a period of time based on the experiences and observations of companies or individuals operating within a common industry. Examples of rule of thumb approaches include multiples of EBITDA, earnings, revenue, or book value to arrive at a quick approximation of a company's value.

How do you evaluate commercial value? ›

There are a number of ways to determine the market value of your business.
  1. Tally the value of assets. Add up the value of everything the business owns, including all equipment and inventory. ...
  2. Base it on revenue. ...
  3. Use earnings multiples. ...
  4. Do a discounted cash-flow analysis. ...
  5. Go beyond financial formulas.

How much is a business worth with $1 million in sales? ›

The Revenue Multiple (times revenue) Method

A venture that earns $1 million per year in revenue, for example, could have a multiple of 2 or 3 applied to it, resulting in a $2 or $3 million valuation. Another business might earn just $500,000 per year and earn a multiple of 0.5, yielding a valuation of $250,000.

What are 3 examples of why a company would perform business valuation? ›

Valuation is the process of determining the theoretically correct value of a company, investment, or asset, as opposed to its cost or current market value. Common reasons for performing a valuation are for M&A, strategic planning, capital financing, and investing in securities.

What is a good rule of thumb for value of a business? ›

A common rule of thumb is assigning a business value based on a multiple of its annual EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). The specific multiple used often ranges from 2 to 6 times EBITDA depending on the size, industry, profit margins, and growth prospects.

What is an example of the rule of thumb in business? ›

The application of Pareto's Principle of 80/20 rule is the best thumb rule example for a growing business. The owner can evaluate which customers or clients deliver the most profit since 80% of the profits of the company is earned from just 20% of its customers.

How many times profit is a business worth? ›

The times-revenue method determines the maximum value of a company as a multiple of its revenue for a set period of time. The multiple varies by industry and other factors but is typically one or two. In some industries, the multiple might be less than one.

What is the formula for expected commercial value? ›

The combination of the estimated project value and probability are represented, often on a decision tree. Step 3: A formula is applied to determine the expected commercial value of the project. It is ECV = [(PV*Pcs – C)*Pts]-D.

How do you determine the value of a small business? ›

Asset Method: This method is simply calculated by taking the difference between business assets and liabilities. For example, if you have $100,000 in assets and $20,000 in liabilities, the value of your business is $80,000 ($100,000 – $20,000 = $80,000).

How much is a business worth with $500,000 in sales? ›

Use Revenue or Earnings as Your Guide

For example, if the industry standard is "three times sales" and your revenue for last year was $500,000, your revenue-based valuation would be $1.5 million. Multiplying your earnings, or how much your business makes after subtracting its costs, is another valuation method.

How much is a business worth with 200k sales? ›

A business will likely sell for two to four times seller's discretionary earnings (SDE)range –the majority selling within the 2 to 3 range. In essence, if the annual cash flow is $200,000, the selling price will likely be between $400,000 and $600,000.

How much is a business worth that makes 100k a year? ›

Business Value Based on Sales

For example, if you are selling a law firm that made $100,000 in annual sales, the industry sales multiplier is 1.03, and the approximate value is $100,000 (x) 1.03 = $103,000.

What is the most popular business valuation method? ›

Multiples, or Comparables approach

This approach is by and large the most common approach to valuing businesses. This is mainly due to the fact that it is a straight-forward and easy to understand method. The valuation formula used is fairly basic once you have the right inputs.

What is the most common business valuation method? ›

Multiples or Comparables

This methodology is usually the most common approach when it comes to valuing a business. This is primarily due to its relative simplicity and ease of understanding.

What is the most commonly used method for corporate valuation? ›

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method

The DCF method of business valuation is similar to the earnings multiplier. This method is based on projections of future cash flows, which are adjusted to get the current market value of the company.

What is rule of thumb guideline? ›

A rule of thumb is a guideline, idea, or principle that helps you make decisions. "Arrive early" is a good rule of thumb for most appointments. This term originally referred to builders who used their thumb to estimate measurements.

What is the most appropriate valuation method? ›

Methods of Valuation
  1. Market Capitalization. Market capitalization is the simplest method of business valuation. ...
  2. Times Revenue Method. ...
  3. Earnings Multiplier. ...
  4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method. ...
  5. Book Value. ...
  6. Liquidation Value.

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