Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

Data Source: from January 1871 to May 2024 (~153 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2024
Live Update: Jun 18 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time
Currency: USD

PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)

0.27%

1 Day

Jun 18 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

3.09%

Current Month

June 2024

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio can be implemented with 2 ETFs. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

The asset allocation is the following: 80% on the Stock Market, 20% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 20% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.

In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio obtained a 9.50% compound annual return, with a 12.53% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -41.09% that required 39 months to be recovered.

Table of contents

Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (1)

The first official book of Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2)

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF NameInvestment Themes (Orig.Currency)
80.00

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock MarketEquity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
20.00

BND

USDVanguard Total Bond MarketBond, U.S., All-Term (USD)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of May 31, 2024

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

June 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.

STOCKS/BONDS 80/20 PORTFOLIO

Consolidated returns as of 31 May 2024

Live Update: Jun 18 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

Swipe left to see all data

Chg (%)Return (%)Return (%) as of May 31, 2024
1 DayTime ET(*)Jun 20241M6M1Y5Y10Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio0.273.094.1813.2322.2911.999.969.508.49
US Inflation Adjusted return4.1811.3518.447.506.946.786.23
Components

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock Market0.2504:00PM, Jun 18 20243.444.7616.0127.6414.9212.0510.449.15

BND

USDVanguard Total Bond Market0.3504:00PM, Jun 18 20241.711.682.051.44-0.191.234.304.48
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to May 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.25% , 5Y: 4.17% , 10Y: 2.83% , 30Y: 2.54%

Live update: World Markets and Indexes

In 2023, the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio granted a 2.08% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of May 31, 2024

An investment of 1$, since June 1994, now would be worth 15.20$, with a total return of 1420.40% (9.50% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7.16$, with a net total return of 615.97% (6.78% annualized).

An investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 267529.43$, with a total return of 26752842.74% (8.49% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 10658.05$, with a net total return of 1065705.31% (6.23% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2024

Metrics of Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio, updated as of 31 May 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

STOCKS/BONDS 80/20 PORTFOLIO

Advanced Metrics

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2024 (~153 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Metrics as of May 31, 2024
1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Investment Return (%)4.182.8413.2322.295.7011.999.969.009.508.49
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.182.1211.3518.440.407.506.946.266.786.23
US Inflation (%)0.010.701.693.255.284.172.832.582.542.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.

DRAWDOWN

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-8.32-22.75-22.75-22.75-41.09-41.09-75.27
Start to Recovery (# months) 52525253939163
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112007 111929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999161633
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 021932 05
Bottom to End (# months)21616162323130
End (yyyy mm)2023 122024 012024 012024 012011 012011 011943 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same
-33.33
same
Start to Recovery (# months) 59
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112000 091929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999162533
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 091932 05
Bottom to End (# months)21616162334130
End (yyyy mm)2023 122024 012024 012024 012011 012005 071943 03
Longest negative period (# months) 529303059122166
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 062021 062021 052021 052004 061999 011928 12
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102023 102023 102023 102009 042009 021942 09
Annualized Return (%)-1.15-1.63-1.42-1.42-0.39-0.47-0.04
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-9.19-26.80-26.80-26.80-42.07-42.07-68.77
Start to Recovery (# months) 529*29*29*535379
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112007 111929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999161633
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 021932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2202020373746
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2012 032012 031936 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same
-36.32-46.99
Start to Recovery (# months) 75123
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112000 091973 01
Start to Bottom (# months)3999162521
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 091974 09
Bottom to End (# months)22020203750102
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2012 032006 111983 03
Longest negative period (# months) 535383868147246
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 062021 062020 092020 092005 011999 071901 05
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 042023 102023 102010 082011 091921 10
Annualized Return (%)-4.34-0.98-1.15-1.15-0.50-0.01-0.02
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress

RISK INDICATORS

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Standard Deviation (%)13.5815.3415.5412.9012.4912.5313.30
Sharpe Ratio1.250.190.650.670.610.580.34
Sortino Ratio1.680.250.860.900.800.750.47
Ulcer Index3.1010.308.436.329.1910.3913.09
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation1.640.370.770.770.720.760.64
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown2.680.250.530.440.220.230.11
Positive Months (%) 66.6658.3365.0069.1668.3366.3861.86
Positive Months82139831642391139
Negative Months415213776121702

LONG TERM RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized9.9614.2214.2216.88
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized6.51-0.44-2.44
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized6.9412.2412.2416.89
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized4.66-2.95-4.50

TIMEFRAMES

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
··· Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized47.6726.3423.0114.229.609.50
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-34.49-11.24-3.66-0.445.30
Positive Periods (%)80.584.997.399.1100.0100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized43.9123.4720.1512.247.116.78
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-34.49-13.37-6.14-2.953.16
Positive Periods (%)78.281.281.790.0100.0100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative 5.127.839.6216.6418.030.000.000.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)6.6210.4313.3023.6726.333.190.000.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative 7.5912.1015.6629.8433.148.701.210.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)9.1614.8119.5032.4936.5215.744.490.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%)79.1825.7515.978.425.238.34
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%)------------2.427.17
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1871 - May 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized118.7137.0030.0316.8816.0313.20
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-57.12-34.67-13.95-2.442.313.32
Positive Periods (%)74.986.694.199.0100.0100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized134.2133.2628.7416.8911.719.71
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-52.40-29.49-10.50-4.50-0.531.52
Positive Periods (%)70.181.184.290.499.7100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative 5.568.6810.9415.1111.942.010.000.000.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)7.1511.4414.8524.3234.5528.760.000.000.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative 8.1813.2117.3530.4970.5251.060.000.000.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)9.8416.0921.4339.3698.6968.889.200.000.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%)67.5619.8111.857.134.333.65
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%)---------------1.69
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Talking about withdrawal rates, how would you manage your early retirement with the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio? Read more here

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

Correlation values range between -1 and +1

  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS

Monthly correlations as of 31 May 2024

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If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

STOCKS/BONDS 80/20 PORTFOLIO

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 31 May 2024 (~153 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

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