Does the S&P 500 double every 5 years?
Consider if an investor put their money in the S&P 500. Historically, it has averaged 11.5% returns between 1928 and 2022. In 6.4 years, their money would double, assuming these average returns.
We saw in the previous section that investing in the S&P 500 has historically allowed investors to double their money about every six or seven years. Your initial $1,000 investment will grow to $2,000 by year 7, $4,000 by year 14, and $6,000 by year 18.
The historical average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 12.0.78% over the last 10 years, as of the end of September 2023. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 10-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 9.066%.
Returns in the S&P 500 over the coming decade are more likely to be in the 3%-6% range, as multiples and margins are unlikely to expand, leaving sales growth, buybacks, and dividends as the main drivers of appreciation.
Investing in the S&P 500 has worked out really, really well. The average annual return of the index was 10% from 1980-2022, excluding dividends. Of course, there are some companies that deliver much higher returns in any given year.
Consider if an investor put their money in the S&P 500. Historically, it has averaged 11.5% returns between 1928 and 2022. In 6.4 years, their money would double, assuming these average returns.
Think About This: $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2000 would have grown to $32,527 over 20 years — an average return of 6.07% per year.
The S&P 500 is an index so it does not pay dividends; however, there are mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the index which investors can invest in.
S&P 500 1 Year Return is at 8.31%, compared to 19.59% last month and -15.92% last year.
Period | Period Low | Performance |
---|---|---|
52-Week | 3,764.49 +19.91% on 12/22/22 | +567.46 (+14.38%) since 11/17/22 |
2-Year | 3,491.58 +29.28% on 10/13/22 | -174.65 (-3.72%) since 11/17/21 |
3-Year | 3,491.58 +29.28% on 10/10/22 | +956.48 (+26.89%) since 11/16/20 |
5-Year | 2,191.86 +105.94% on 03/23/20 | +1,881.46 (+71.47%) since 11/19/18 |
Is it smart to invest in S&P 500?
Is Investing in the S&P 500 Less Risky Than Buying a Single Stock? Generally, yes. The S&P 500 is considered well-diversified by sector, which means it includes stocks in all major areas, including technology and consumer discretionary—meaning declines in some sectors may be offset by gains in other sectors.
The brokerage, in a note dated Oct. 13, said it now expects the benchmark index to hit 4,500 points by mid-2024, which implies an increase of about 4% from current levels.
![Does the S&P 500 double every 5 years? (2024)](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/PTy3LmczYEs/hq720.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEcCNAFEJQDSFXyq4qpAw4IARUAAIhCGAFwAcABBg==&rs=AOn4CLBaqe2ACJdJN7D_Hp1oQ7QMAd2Log)
That's the thesis of Phil Orlando, the chief equity strategist at Federated Hermes. Orlando sees the S&P 500 surging to 5,000 by the end of 2024, representing an upside of around 10% from the benchmark index's current levels. "We think that stocks are going to grind higher. They've gone from 4100 to 4500.
And for a 20-year investment, returns have been 100% positive. But given the possibility for short-term stock market volatility, you should only invest in an S&P 500 index fund if you don't expect that you'll need your money for around five years.
Regardless of where you invest, it's wise to keep a long-term outlook. The market could be shaky over the coming months or even years. But if you invest in an S&P 500 ETF and hold that investment for at least a couple of decades, you're almost guaranteed to make money.
In 1980, had you invested a mere $1,000 in what went on to become the top-performing stock of S&P 500 (^GSPC 2.05%), then you would be sitting on a cool $1.2 million today. That equates to a total return of 120,936%. The stock? None other than Gap (GPS 4.48%).
As a rate of return, long-term mutual funds can offer rates between 12% and 15% per year. With these mutual funds, it may take between 5 and 6 years to double your money.
To make money in stocks, you must protect the money you have. Live to invest another day by following this simple rule: Always sell a stock it if falls 7%-8% below what you paid for it. No questions asked. This basic principle helps you cap your potential downside.
One of those tools is known as the Rule 72. For example, let's say you have saved $50,000 and your 401(k) holdings historically has a rate of return of 8%. 72 divided by 8 equals 9 years until your investment is estimated to double to $100,000.
Discount Rate | Present Value | Future Value |
---|---|---|
5% | $1,000 | $2,653.30 |
6% | $1,000 | $3,207.14 |
7% | $1,000 | $3,869.68 |
8% | $1,000 | $4,660.96 |
How much is 200 dollars a month invested for 20 years?
Investing as little as $200 a month can, if you do it consistently and invest wisely, turn into more than $150,000 in as soon as 20 years. If you keep contributing the same amount for another 20 years while generating the same average annual return on your investments, you could have more than $1.2 million.
In order to hit your goal of $1 million in 10 years, SmartAsset's savings calculator estimates that you would need to save around $7,900 per month. This is if you're just putting your money into a high-yield savings account with an average annual percentage yield (APY) of 1.10%.
To be precise, you'd need an investment of $900,000. This is calculated as follows: $3,000 X 12 months = $36,000 per year. $36,000 / 4% dividend yield = $900,000.
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- AT&T (T) ...
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- 3M Company (MMM) ...
- Dow Inc. ...
- International Business Machines (IBM) ...
- Goldman Sachs (GS) ...
- Chevron (CVX) ...
- Coca-Cola (KO)
Index fund | Minimum investment | Expense ratio |
---|---|---|
Vanguard 500 Index Fund - Admiral Shares (VFIAX) | $3,000. | 0.04%. |
Schwab S&P 500 Index Fund (SWPPX) | No minimum. | 0.02%. |
Fidelity 500 Index Fund (FXAIX) | No minimum. | 0.015%. |
Fidelity Zero Large Cap Index (FNILX) | No minimum. | 0.0%. |
What is the best S&P 500 index fund? All S&P 500 index funds strive to match the returns of the S&P 500 index, minus fees. Since fees are the difference-maker in returns, the Fidelity 500 Index Fund stands out as the best S&P 500 index fund because it has the lowest expense ratio of the top funds.
For a point of reference, the S&P 500 has a historical average annual total return of about 10%, not accounting for inflation. This doesn't mean you can expect 10% growth every year; you could experience a gain one year and a loss the next.
The index acts as a benchmark of the performance of the U.S. stock market overall, dating back to the 1920s. The index has returned a historic annualized average return of around 11.88% since its 1957 inception through the end of 2021.
S&P 500 Monthly Total Return (I:SP500MTR)
S&P 500 Monthly Total Return is at -2.10%, compared to -4.77% last month and 8.10% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.65%. The S&P 500 Monthly Total Return is the investment return received each month, including dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.
What is the 30 year return of the S&P 500 ETF?
In the last 30 Years, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF obtained a 9.56% compound annual return, with a 15.03% standard deviation. The ETF is related to the following investment themes: Asset Class: Equity.
Investing in the stock market can be a great way to grow your wealth over time, but it can also be a way to turn $500 into $5000 in six months. There are many ways to invest in the stock market, including buying individual stocks, mutual funds, or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
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S&P 500: $100 in 1980 → $12,097.47 in 2023
This is a return on investment of 11,997.47%, or 11.61% per year. This lump-sum investment beats inflation during this period for an inflation-adjusted return of about 3,139.93% cumulatively, or 8.29% per year.
The S&P 500 5 year average return is 13.57%. Commonly referred to as “the market”, the S&P 500 is a collection of the 500 largest public companies in the United States.
Analysts expect the bull market to resume in 2024. Inflation and interest rates will likely remain the two biggest market catalysts. Bloated Big Tech valuations could limit additional upside for the Nasdaq.
Year | Mid-Year | Tod/End,% |
---|---|---|
2023 | $443 | +5% |
2024 | $490 | +13% |
2025 | $546 | +24% |
2026 | $603 | +38% |
Inflation is steadily cooling, optimism for rate cuts has climbed, and stocks are rallying in November. Goldman Sachs said the S&P 500 can climb 8% in 2024 as pre-2008 conditions return.
S&P 500 5 Year Return (I:SP5005YR)
S&P 500 5 Year Return is at 54.65%, compared to 47.15% last month and 50.35% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 44.58%. The S&P 500 5 Year Return is the investment return received for a 5 year period, excluding dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.
What is the 4% rule for S&P?
The approach has worked very well historically and has inspired the famous 4% rule which states that you can simply hold the index and safely withdraw 4% from your portfolio each year and not go broke.
How Do I Use the 80-20 Rule to Invest? When building a portfolio, you could consider investing in 20% of the stocks in the S&P 500 that have contributed 80% of the market's returns. Or you might create an 80-20 allocation: 80% of investments could be lower risk index funds while 20% might could be growth funds.
Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year.
While there are few certainties in the financial world, there's virtually no chance that an index fund will ever lose all of its value. One reason for this is that most index funds are highly diversified. They buy and hold identical weights of each stock in an index, such as the S&P 500.
A simple strategy for investing in the S&P 500 is to buy a set dollar amount each week or month and hold it for the long term. This is known as dollar-cost averaging. Dollar-cost averaging is a strategy where you divide the total amount you want to invest across periodic purchases of the target asset.
$1,000,000 in 1970 has the same purchasing power as $7,753,608.25 today. Over the 53 years this is a change of $6,753,608.25. The average inflation rate of the dollar between 1970 and 2023 was 1.87% per year. The cumulative price increase of the dollar over this time was 675.36%.
$10,000 in 1980 has the same purchasing power as $36,509.71 today. Over the 43 years this is a change of $26,509.71. The average inflation rate of the dollar between 1980 and 2023 was 0.69% per year. The cumulative price increase of the dollar over this time was 265.10%.
Company (Ticker) | Forward P/E Ratio |
---|---|
Boeing (BA) | 41.6 |
CSX (CSX) | 15.2 |
Five Below (FIVE) | 26.9 |
Kraft Heinz (KHC) | 11.7 |
The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index, but that 10% average rate is reduced by inflation. Investors can expect to lose purchasing power of 2% to 3% every year due to inflation.
The index acts as a benchmark of the performance of the U.S. stock market overall, dating back to the 1920s. The index has returned a historic annualized average return of around 11.88% since its 1957 inception through the end of 2021.
What is the average rate of return for the S&P 500 last 20 years?
Average Market Return for the Last 20 Years
Looking at the S&P 500 from 2003 to mid-2023 the picture changes. The average stock market return for the last 20 years was 9.75% (7.03% when adjusted for inflation), which is lower than the average 10% return.
There is only one way in which you can double your money in 5 years and that is through mutual funds. Despite the market risks, mutual funds can earn significant returns in 5 to 6 years. This is because mutual funds offer higher returns than any other investment option and higher risk.
To be precise, you'd need an investment of $900,000. This is calculated as follows: $3,000 X 12 months = $36,000 per year. $36,000 / 4% dividend yield = $900,000.
The lowest annual return over any 30 year period going back to 1926 was 7.8%. That's what you got had you invested at the peak of the Roaring 20s boom in September 1929. You would have lost more than 80% of your investment in the ensuing crash and still made more than 850% in total over 30 years.
Enter your expected rate of return. For a point of reference, the S&P 500 has a historical average annual total return of about 10%, not accounting for inflation. This doesn't mean you can expect 10% growth every year; you could experience a gain one year and a loss the next.
- Caterpillar Inc. ...
- McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) ...
- American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) ...
- The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) ...
- International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) ...
- The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) ...
- Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) ...
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM)
Interest rate
The actual rate of return is largely dependent on the types of investments you select. The Standard & Poor's 500® (S&P 500®) for the 10 years ending December 31st 2022, had an annual compounded rate of return of 12.6%, including reinvestment of dividends.
Basic Info
S&P 500 6 Month Return is at 0.58%, compared to 4.35% last month and -6.29% last year.
Keep saving and investing no matter what
If you simply contribute $8,000 in new money to your account each year and leave your money invested for the long-term, your account would be worth nearly $1 million in 20 years. That's a 10X from its original value with no complex investment strategies at all.
You can also run it backwards: if you want to double your money in six years, just divide 6 into 72 to find that it will require an interest rate of about 12 percent.