10-day Moving Average (MA) is a popular near term technical indicator. Graphically, you find it as a trend line on the price chart that represents the averages of the closing prices of the last ten trading days. A short term moving average serves many purposes- It indicates how strong a particular price trend is and also doubles up as useful indicators for placing sell signals. While staying close to the original prices, it smoothens out the price data for the trader to get a clear glimpse of where prices are headed by removing the impact of the noise or daily price fluctuations from the data.
There are different types of moving averages-simple, exponential, weighted, among others. For this article, we will understand what a 10-day SMA (Simple Moving average) is.
For the SMA for the next data point, the earliest entry (closing price of day 1) will be removed, and the closing price of the 11thday would be added. This way, the continuity of the moving average trend line is maintained.
The black trend line below shows the 10-day MA of the BSE Sensex
How to Add to Your Chart?
Most price charts offer a button called Indicators. Indicators have MA as an option in their drop-down menu. When you click on it, you will be asked to select the period or the number of days. For the above example, you can choose ten since we are looking to add a moving average of 10 days to our price chart. Then you will be asked to select the type of moving average-simple, exponential, weighted or any other. Here, we have chosen the ‘simple’ option for the above example. On doing this, you will see the trend line appear on the chart laying over the current prices.
Trading Strategies
The 10-day moving average strategy is a lagging one, that is, by the time averages catch up, a significant price move may have already occurred. Also, the moving averages rely on historical prices to calculate trends. But analyses show that these averages still have reasonably strong sell signals. That is when prices decidedly trade below the 10-day average, it may signal that price consolidation has happened and it is time to sell and exit.
Reaction to Prices
A shorter-term moving average like ten days is reactive to price changes because of its proximity to the closing prices by time. A longer-term MA may appear more smoothened out on a price chart.
Crossover Strategies
When a short term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average (like say 100-day or 200-day moving average), it is a sign that the stock is bullish and prices are on the rise. When the short term MA crosses below the longer-term MAs, it signals a downtrend.
Conclusion:
Despite its reactivity to price changes, a 10-day moving average is a powerful tool to know if prices are moving in an uptrend or a downtrend. So traders can determine the odds of whether the prices will continue to stay bullish or if the buyers’ steam will run out and the prices are likely to go south. Traders say, particularly when there is a trending market such as the morning trading hours when the trending market is active, this average can be a useful price indicator.
The 10-day moving average strategy is a lagging one, that is, by the time averages catch up, a significant price move may have already occurred. Also, the moving averages rely on historical prices to calculate trends. But analyses show that these averages still have reasonably strong sell signals.
A 10-day moving average would average out the closing prices for the first 10 days as the first data point. The next data point would drop the earliest price, add the price on day 11 and take the average.
Usually, when real-time prices are above the moving average (MA), it signals an uptrend, and when prices are below the MA, you will see prices being pulled in the downward direction. Two moving averages of different durations may merge and cross each other in opposite directions, as will see later.
The best way to trade moving average is to use the crossover strategy, where a shorter-period moving average crossing above a longer-period moving average generates a bullish signal, and vice versa for a bearish signal. This method helps indicate potential changes in the market trend.
Short-term moving averages crossing above longer-term moving averages is generally seen as bullish and long-term moving averages crossing below shot-term moving averages is generally seen as bearish.
A 9 or 10-day moving average period is the best-moving average for intraday trading. However, 21-day EMA can be also used for day trading but you have to apply another technical indicator in combination with moving averages crossover to know the trend reversal.
Two popular choices are the 200-day moving average and the 10-month moving average. Although both strategies have similar endpoints, the 10-month moving average rule offers a more consistent trajectory. The Faber Study provided valuable insights by analyzing the 10-month moving average rule dating back to the 1900s.
Here are the strategy steps. Plot three exponential moving averages—a five-period EMA, a 20-period EMA, and 50-period EMA—on a 15-minute chart. Buy when the five-period EMA crosses from below to above the 20-period EMA, and the price, five, and 20-period EMAs are above the 50 EMA.
Traders must pick periods in which to create moving averages to identify price trends. Common periods used are 100 days, 200 days, and 500 days, for long-term support, and five days, 10 days, 20 days, and 50 days for near-term trends.
Different types of moving averages include Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). The key moving average trading strategies are crossover, envelope and ribbon.
This is the core idea behind the moving average. It simply takes the past prices and divides it according to whichever moving average parameter that you've chosen. In this case, this is a 5-period moving average. If you take a 3-period moving average, it's just going to look at the last 3 numbers and then divide by 3.
The simple moving average is calculated by adding the price of a security over a period and then dividing that figure by the number of periods. For example, adding the closing prices of a security for the previous month and then dividing the total by the number of days in the month.
Using MAs while trading can help identify trends and become significant in building trading strategies. If price action is above a moving average it can be indicative of long positions, while if the price action is below the moving average, it can be an indication that short positions should be taken.
It simply graphs the average closing price over the 10 past trading weeks. Once a new trading week is done, a new 10-week average is calculated. That's why it's a "moving" average.
This rule suggests that a stock's price tends to move in cycles, with the first 3 days after a major event often showing the most significant price change. Then, there's usually a period of around 30 days where the stock's price stabilizes or corrects before potentially starting a new cycle [1].
Your 50-day moving average has been replaced by the 10-week moving average. It covers the same amount of time but is calculated using 10 data points instead of 50. The 10-week average can be your secret weapon for adding to a position, diminishing it, or cutting it altogether.
The 9 EMA indicator is a type of moving average that is calculated by taking the average price of an asset over the past nine periods. It has a rich historical background and has been developed over time to become one of the most popular indicators among traders.
It simply graphs the average closing price over the 10 past trading weeks. Once a new trading week is done, a new 10-week average is calculated. That's why it's a "moving" average.
The 10-week average appears on weekly charts. It is the sum of a stock's weekly closing prices over the prior 10 weeks, divided by 10. A 50-day line sums up 50 days of closing prices and divides by 50. It shows up on daily charts.
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